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re: Best programs of the past 5 years
Posted on 8/28/09 at 2:00 pm to H-Town Tiger
Posted on 8/28/09 at 2:00 pm to H-Town Tiger
quote:
points spreads are not necessarily an indicator of who they think is better, but rather, who they think the bettors will favor and what number they can get away with.
The bettors are going to favor the better team considering a neutral site. It is only the sharp bettors they are considering, overall public does move the line, but not to the degree as certain bettors.
Posted on 8/28/09 at 2:22 pm to MJRuffalo
quote:
The bettors are going to favor the better team considering a neutral site
they will favor the team they think is better, this is of course subjective, see Super Bowl XLII.
quote:
It is only the sharp bettors they are considering, overall public does move the line, but not to the degree as certain bettors.
true, but the sharps are more about value and not Team A is better. If USC played UF on a neutral site and the line opened at Pk, the sharps may pounce on USC. If it was USC -7', they would likely pounce on Florida.
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