re: BCS works __% of the time? 27%

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Looking at history, it probably did. Historically, a team that starts out ahead of another team doesn't fall behind another team until it loses. That doesn't mean that Auburn was shafted, necessarily in 2004, but Auburn could not have jumped either USC or OU under almost any set of circumstances, and there is little historical precedent to show otherwise.


I can't believe people on LSU boards actually post this.

2007. USC #1, LSU #2.

USC beats Washington by 3.
LSU beats Tulane by 25.

LSU jumps USC in the AP poll.

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Did you read the whole comment? I specifically said the 2007 was an atypical year specifically because there was only one team with one or no losses. I also said that 2007 was the 1st year I remember that the AP voters did not move teams up and down in lock step.

I would hope that 2007 represents a watershed in breaking the tradition, but the fact is 2007 is an exception to the historical treatment of teams by the voters. Can you provide examples, other than an extremely rare exception in 2007, which I specifically pointed out as being exceptional (reinforcing the observation that there is little historical precedent, to say that pollsters don't move teams in lock step reflexively.