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People are now Creating AI Bots to Game Political Betting Platforms

Posted on 3/13/26 at 10:52 pm
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
8313 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 10:52 pm
Has anyone seen this shite? I'm curious peoples thoughts on this. The idea is to build a bot that continually scans news sources and other platforms from around the world and catch platforms like poly market sleeping before they update their betting odds and the market is mispriced.

What will the response be to this strategy?
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
90295 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 10:57 pm to
Didn’t Benjamin just lose everything doing this?
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
29200 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 10:57 pm to
We need negative liberty bigly in many places in this country. Ofc most of them involve the hedonism and narcissism of total freedom infected areas of our culture.

All the DEI bullshite
All the identify shite
An actual state that truly gives us freedom of association

That’s just 3 examples but you know what would do all 3 in one? Repealing the civil rights act
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
8313 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 10:58 pm to
quote:

Didn’t Benjamin just lose everything doing this?


I don't know. First I'm hearing about this shite. I was hoping others would be knowledgeable about it.
Posted by rocksteady
Member since Sep 2013
2792 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 10:59 pm to
I mean, people have always had ways of getting news quicker and gaining an edge over others. Poly market doesn’t care, they make their transaction fees regardless
Posted by SallysHuman
Lady Palmetto Bug
Member since Jan 2025
18843 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:00 pm to
quote:

What will the response be to this strategy?


Better bots for the gambling platforms... then the users... then the platforms... then legislation dealing with cheating.
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
8313 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:01 pm to
quote:

I mean, people have always had ways of getting news quicker and gaining an edge over others. Poly market doesn’t care, they make their transaction fees regardless


Good point. It sounds like it's damn near fool-proof if you program your bot properly.
Posted by Kafka
I am the moral conscience of TD
Member since Jul 2007
155997 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:01 pm to
quote:

Didn’t Benjamin just lose everything doing this?
netanyahu?

franklin?

braddock?

plastics?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181112 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:02 pm to
Welcome to 6 months ago

Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
8313 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

Welcome to 6 months ago


I wish I had known about this 6 months ago.
Posted by rocksteady
Member since Sep 2013
2792 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:05 pm to
I know I would absolutely fricking love and get addicted to polymarket and therefore can never try it. Much like cocaine
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181112 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:05 pm to
quote:

Better bots for the gambling platforms



It's peer-to-peer betting so why would the platforms care? They want the action so they can take a cut.

quote:

then legislation dealing with cheating.


They would first need to legislate for peer-to-peer trading/betting sites.
Posted by SallysHuman
Lady Palmetto Bug
Member since Jan 2025
18843 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:07 pm to
quote:

It's peer-to-peer betting so why would the platforms care?


Cheater bots run off legit customers?

quote:

They would first need to legislate for peer-to-peer trading/betting sites.


I don't think that's outside the realm or revenue of possibility.
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
8313 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:08 pm to
quote:

know I would absolutely fricking love and get addicted to polymarket and therefore can never try it. Much like cocaine


Yeah, I've made some bets on Kalshi and it does get addictive pretty quickly. But this is an interesting approach because you actually aren't doing shite.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181112 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:11 pm to
quote:

I wish I had known about this 6 months ago.



Why? Did you lose to a bot?

The people capable of building the bots aren't going to sell them to you. They have invested in their own bot farms running on Mac Minis, which is why certain models of old Mac Minis have shot up in price and are hard to find on eBay.

A lot of the info you see on X about the trading bots is hype for clicks.

Bots have always been in gambling platforms. It's well known that there are bots in online poker rooms that all get on the same table, know each other's cards, and play against the suckers who sit at the table.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181112 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

Cheater bots run off legit customers?


The platforms have detection systems in place but it's like playing whack-a-mole. Its their issue to deal with. Not congress

quote:

I don't think that's outside the realm or revenue of possibility.


We don't need more laws or regulations to protect idiots from losing their money.
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
8313 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:14 pm to
quote:

A lot of the info you see on X about the trading bots is hype for clicks.



I get that, but you can build your own bot.
Posted by SallysHuman
Lady Palmetto Bug
Member since Jan 2025
18843 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:16 pm to
quote:

Its their issue to deal with. Not congress


And that's stopped congress when?

Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181112 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:22 pm to
quote:

I get that, but you can build your own bot.



You seem to be oversimplifying it. AI is great to assist with coding but what you are describing still takes a decent amount of coding knowledge.

Again, they are running their own bot forms on Mac minis using clawdbot and know what they are doing.

Also, just FYI, many of those bots get banned and never actually get paid out. If people on X can find them and their trading history to post about, what do you think Kalashi and Polymarket are doing to detect them?


This post was edited on 3/13/26 at 11:26 pm
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181112 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

And that's stopped congress when?



Congress will only care about these P2P sites when they can squeeze 'campaign contributions' from them and their lobbyist for support
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