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FWIW BOA says sell oil above $100
Posted on 3/13/26 at 2:14 pm
Posted on 3/13/26 at 2:14 pm
quote:Oilprice.com
Bank of America pointed to the last major oil spike for context. During the financial crisis buildup in 2007 and 2008, crude surged from about $70 per barrel to nearly $140. Oil peaked shortly after the European Central Bank raised interest rates, and within months, the financial system began to unravel. Prices eventually collapsed to around $40 per barrel.
The bank argues that the biggest risk from high oil prices today may not be inflation itself but damage to corporate earnings and financial markets. Banks often serve as the transmission point between financial markets and the real economy, and weakness in bank stocks can signal broader economic stress.
Because of that dynamic, Bank of America recommends a cautious approach if oil pushes above $100, suggesting investors take profits rather than chase the rally.
The firm also outlined several related macro trades, including favoring the U.S. dollar above 100 on the DXY index, buying 30-year Treasury yields above 5%, and looking to buy the S&P 500 if it falls below 6,600.
They certainly have had their opportunity
3
Posted on 3/13/26 at 5:58 pm to bigjoe1
Who’s going to buy it over 100?
Posted on 3/13/26 at 6:33 pm to dstone12
Somebody who desperately needs short term supply
Posted on 3/13/26 at 7:12 pm to bigjoe1
Julianne Geiger Is a good follow on X for oil movements.
Posted on 3/14/26 at 12:47 pm to TDFreak
She appears to post nothing but govt reports?
Posted on 3/14/26 at 5:32 pm to holdem Tiger
Is there an easy way to short oil?
Posted on 3/14/26 at 8:15 pm to Wilson
quote:
Is there an easy way to short oil?
If you're asking this question, you have no business in doing it.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 7:16 pm to Wilson
Nrgd is a leveraged etf on the big oil companies
Short USO options for crude
Short USO options for crude
Posted on 3/23/26 at 7:24 pm to ApexHunterNetcode
quote:
If you're asking this question, you have no business in doing it.
Maybe I should phrase it a different way then. I know how to make money if I think oil is going to go up. That's easy with USO or USL. Now, how do I make money if I think oil is going to go down? Are options the only way or has someone created an ETF to do this exact thing (since you so eloquently told me that I had no business doing it myself)?
I'd be a little surprised if something like this doesn't exist, considering that you can bet on what someone is going to eat for breakfast tomorrow. Maybe there's a economic reason why you couldn't do it, but I'd like to know what it is.
Posted on 3/27/26 at 10:05 pm to bigjoe1
quote:
favoring the U.S. dollar above 100 on the DXY index, buying 30-year Treasury yields above 5%, and looking to buy the S&P 500 if it falls below 6,600.
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