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Can we start betting on Pels player props as a board?

Posted on 2/24/26 at 1:38 pm
Posted by hassan whiteside
Member since Dec 2021
583 posts
Posted on 2/24/26 at 1:38 pm
Let's have some fun the rest of the way through this nightmare season. What's some good props for tonight?
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
30091 posts
Posted on 2/24/26 at 1:55 pm to
We are one of the worst teams in the league defending the 3.
It’s always a good bet to bet on opponents made 3s.


DeAnthony Melton 3+ threes at +148
Posted by Tank77
Member since Mar 2019
756 posts
Posted on 2/24/26 at 2:17 pm to
Go to the bank, take out your savings and put it on moses moody
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
30091 posts
Posted on 2/24/26 at 3:05 pm to
His odds are juiced and Herb is likely to guard him. He’s taking about 7-8 threes a game last few games.
Melton has been taking about 6 a game in the last few and I think will likely have more open looks than Moody. Moody’s -163 to make 3+.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
30091 posts
Posted on 2/24/26 at 7:53 pm to
Ka-Ching
This post was edited on 2/24/26 at 7:53 pm
Posted by AD23
Lab
Member since Jun 2012
1468 posts
Posted on 2/25/26 at 10:40 am to
good hit teddy
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
30091 posts
Posted on 2/25/26 at 11:00 am to
thanks.

I look everyday at who the Pels and Jazz are playing, then see who's sitting b/c they are vaginas and then decide which role player is going to hit some 3's against those teams.
It's been pretty successful the last few weeks.

Both teams are giving up over 40 3PA per game, the only teams giving up over 40. Pels are decent as far as the % they give up, but the Jazz are 3rd to last in that, so the expectation is teams are going to shoot a ton against the Jazz and make a ton.

Almost every game those two teams play, someone goes off for 4+ 3's, if not more.

Pels last 10 games:
4 Moody
4 Oubre
7 Ryan Rollins
4 Fontecchio
The Kings suck and no one made more than 1.
4 Bones Hyland, 5 Edwards
4 Pete Nance, 6 AJ Green
4 Kon Ka-Nipple
4 Maxey and McCain
4 Cam Spencer

That's 12 guys that hit at least 4 threes against us in the last 10 games, and only 3 of them are known players who likely were -120ish at 4+ against us. Everyone else was very likely to be anywhere from + money to hit 3 threes.
Posted by spaghettioeauxs
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2017
3046 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 9:47 am to
What we got tonight? I like Pels ML for sure. Boys are winning.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
30091 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 10:10 am to
If Keyonte George is playing, 3+ from him should be easy money at +172


Safe bet is George and Bey to each hit 2+ for +123.

If George isn't playing, Bey and Ace Bailey to hit 2+ is +138



The Jazz aren't even trying so it's hard to want to bet on any of them to do anything good. I wouldn't be surprised if someone was playing really well and they sat them in the 4th quarter to help them lose, which they've done a few times already with Markannen and JJJ.

Posted by spaghettioeauxs
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2017
3046 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 10:12 am to
If what you say is true, then -186 for Pels ML is a good pick. They have every reason to lose and we have every reason to win.
Posted by spaghettioeauxs
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2017
3046 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 10:26 am to
Made $11 live betting ping pong so we’ve got $21 on:
Pels ML
Zion 4+ 1st Q points
Zion 20+ points
Will be watching like a hawk tonight.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
30091 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 10:26 am to
sure, but i'll never place a bet at -186.
-140 is my threshold, and i don't even like that.
Posted by spaghettioeauxs
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2017
3046 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 10:31 am to
I don’t mind - odds too much. The most success I’ve had NBA betting is picking 3 or 4 legs at around -350 to -500 odds to combine for about even odds. One time I went from 150 to 500, 500 to 1200, 1200 to 2200 and I swear I was done after my 2200 into 4400. Last leg I needed was Knicks to beat the lowly Spurs a few years ago, Jalen Brunson was going crazy but missed the last shot and they lost in OT.
This post was edited on 2/26/26 at 10:33 am
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
30091 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 10:36 am to
word to the wise, never put ML bets in your NBA parlays, and if you do, wait until closer to game time so you know who's being a pussy and not playing.

Just last night a safe ML parlay was the Cavs against the Bucks.
Then the Cavs decide to hold out Mitchell, Mobley and Harden (for good reason since he slightly broke his thumb as X-Rays revealed yesterday afternoon. And of course they lost.


betting NBA ML's are a losing strategy. Too much i don't give a frick in the league and we'll just lose tonight who gives a shite attitude, like the Celtics getting beat by 20 last night to the Nuggets after beating the Suns by 20 the night before.
Posted by spaghettioeauxs
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2017
3046 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 10:39 am to
Yeah you’re not wrong. I think it’s generally easier to predict later in the season with the playoff standings when you can say with confidence which team is incentivized to win and which to lose. Betting the NBA in general is just a disaster. You can pick a player who gets off to a hot start but their team is down 40 at half and they don’t play again.
Posted by spaghettioeauxs
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2017
3046 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 8:25 pm to
Your bet was better.

Zion’s missed FT sold my arse real quick. Meanwhile you’ve got 3 out of the 4 3s in the 1st Q lol. Good call.
This post was edited on 2/26/26 at 8:34 pm
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
30091 posts
Posted on 2/26/26 at 9:53 pm to
That’s another Ka-Ching


Posted by Whodat1
Madisonville, LA
Member since Feb 2007
512 posts
Posted on 2/27/26 at 2:12 pm to
yes
from experience don't bet Z to have any assists, he has killed 7 leg parlays
stay away from the rooks late in season, feasted early
stay away from poole, you never know when he is going to play
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