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Logical deduction for coach search (Long)

Posted on 11/5/25 at 11:44 am
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3507 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 11:44 am
Remove unrealistic candidates or candidates who are too old/retired, remove coaches having success at a blue blood program, remove coaches making good money at their alma mater, and coaches with HUGE buyouts or coaching for universities with deeper pockets that will counter LSU:

This removes Day, DeBoer, Freeman, Elko, Saban, Meyer, Cignetti, Dillingham, Brohm, Key, Cristobal, Lanning, Riley, and Lea.

LSU could pull off a heist and nab one, but the likelihood of another Brian Kelly type hire is questionable. The only realistic candidates on that list IMO are Dillingham, Brohm, Key and Lea all who would be good hires, but let's remove them as part of the logical deduction because they are coaching at their Alma Mater.

Coaches left who are having moderate or better success listed by 1st tier (coaches at good programs ranked top 25), then 2nd tier (coaches in top 25 at mid programs), and 3rd tier (coaches from unranked mid or decent programs having some success):

1st tier - Kiffin(UM), Drinkwitz(Mizzou), and Heupel(Tenn) - all pricey to pull from competing SEC schools.

2nd tier - Sitake(BYU), McGuire(Texas Tech but may be too expensive for a question mark hire), Tony Elliot (UVA), Silverfield(Memphis), Fisch(UW), and Satterfield(Cincy).

3rd tier - Sumral(Tulane), Golesh(USF), Morris(UNT), Lashlee(SMU), Fritz(Houston), Aranda(Baylor), Fleck(Minnesota) Diaz(Duke), Dykes(TCU), Huff(USM), Harrell(ECU), and Rhule(Nebraska).

If LSU can't pull one of the tier 1 options, would you be happy (or at least satisfied) with any from tier 2 or 3?

I think of tier 2 and 3 coaches I would rank them:
1. McGuire
2. Diaz (For some reason I think he will be great at the right place)
3. Sitake, Fisch or Aranda
4. Fleck or Rhule
5. Elliot
6. All the rest from the mid G4 programs or not in the G4

After Tier 1, I hope LSU considers McGuire if possible or Manny Diaz!
This post was edited on 11/6/25 at 8:25 am
Posted by kajunman
Member since Dec 2015
7581 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 11:45 am to
Aranda
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3507 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 11:48 am to
quote:

Arand




He's like the 8th option after tier 1 and my rankings of tier 2 and 3.

He's an intelligent football coach with a history at LSU.
Posted by EastWestConnection
Denver/Shenzhen/Belfast
Member since Jul 2024
1038 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 11:52 am to
Tldr


But maybe fisch
This post was edited on 11/5/25 at 11:53 am
Posted by Shaggy01
Dallas
Member since Nov 2021
347 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 11:58 am to
Any list that has McGuire on it go ahead and click off

Tells me you have 0 understanding of the coaching landscape

And Aranda? .....
Posted by Sleepy_Tiger
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Aug 2021
10181 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

if possible or Manny Diaz!


IM good with a 2nd or 3rd tier coach but you lost me with Manny Diaz
Posted by tigerbaiter1033
USA
Member since Nov 2011
2459 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:09 pm to
Thank god you are not in charge of the coaching search
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3507 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

IM good with a 2nd or 3rd tier coach but you lost me with Manny Diaz


I get it, but I'm a fan of Diaz. He may be the best defensive mind in CFB. He wasn't terrible at UM as his first HC job. He has Duke competitive in the ACC with less talent.

I want LSU to get back to playing high level defense. Find an OC that has a history of success, and pair him with Diaz! Everyone is so hung up on offensive minded coaches.
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3507 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

Thank god you are not in charge of the coaching search




You never know.

You gotta take into consideration the deductions prior to the rankings at the bottom. Obviously all LSU fans want a coach from the deducted list or from tier 1. I'm just listing/ranking what's left.
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3507 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Any list that has McGuire on it go ahead and click off

Tells me you have 0 understanding of the coaching landscape


Why is that? He's a good coach at a decent program. Is it because he wouldn't leave TT for LSU? Or because he's not yet proven enough to be LSU's HC?

You gotta take into consideration that the list/ranking at the bottom is after the deducted list and tier 1.
Posted by TXLSUCHE
Houston, Tx
Member since Sep 2005
612 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:32 pm to
quote:



You never know.


Oh, I think we know...
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3507 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Oh, I think we know...


Posted by Captain Crown
Member since Jun 2011
55695 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:34 pm to
I’m sticking with the “Don’t overthink it” mindset today
Posted by Shaggy01
Dallas
Member since Nov 2021
347 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:35 pm to
McGuire is a Texas HS coaching legend and with his setup at Tech there is 0 chance he leaves
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
25562 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:40 pm to
I'd skip right over your Tier 2 and go with Fritz (Houston).
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3507 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

0 chance he leaves


Even for LSU? Does he see himself winning a championship at TT? Sure, winning the big 12 is doable every year, but competing against A&M (or UT some years) in the playoffs let alone Bama or Ohio State! Does he care about in-state legend status or his ability to win a championship?

He'd improve recruiting in Texas, and LSU recruits itself in Louisiana. NIL is obviously the wave of recruiting, but relationships still matter.

I just don't know if he's the right fit at LSU, but wouldn't be opposed to it if he would leave for the chance at a championship at a championship level program. That is all with the understanding that deducted coaches and tier 1 coaches fall through.

This post was edited on 11/6/25 at 8:30 am
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3507 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Fritz (Houston).


Proven successful program/culture guy!

I think he'd be a good hire.

The demand on him to show immediate results would be tough from the fan perspective. I'm not sure he would be a great fit because of the short leash he would be given.
Posted by Shaggy01
Dallas
Member since Nov 2021
347 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 4:15 pm to
He is not leaving the state of Texas and with their former billionaire player giving them $20+ million a year in NIL I have a hard time thinking he will ever leave
Posted by Odysseus32
Member since Dec 2009
9542 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

Silverfield(Memphis)


I wish.

Guy is 50-21 at Memphis. Norvell was 38-16.
Posted by Saint209299
Member since Jan 2018
3 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 4:28 pm to
Add Jeff Lebby to Tier 3
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