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99% chance to win at the 3:10 mark of WAS/CHI game and lost.

Posted on 10/13/25 at 11:12 pm
Posted by JYD
Pineville
Member since Oct 2003
8456 posts
Posted on 10/13/25 at 11:12 pm
*Dear Facebook*

99% to win with WAS 3rd and 1 at the CHI 40 then the fumble by Daniels from the pistol formation in the freaking rain! Blows my mind!

I had a myriad of ways to score 1 measly point to break a tie and win with 3 active players, but somehow didn’t.

• A FG/extra point by Gay (Felt really good about one of these)
• A single catch for 0 yds by McCaffery OR Odunze
• 25 kick return yds by McCaffery had CHI scored quicker.

99%!!!
This post was edited on 10/13/25 at 11:14 pm
Posted by facher08
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
5618 posts
Posted on 10/13/25 at 11:46 pm to
quote:

99% chance to win at the 3:10 mark of WAS/CHI game and lost.


Win percentage projections make me irrationally angry. They are worthless. I was 1% chance to win only down 7 with Swift and a full quarter to go. It wasn't necessarily likely that I'd win, but it was never 1%. Those things never take game flow into account.
Posted by beauchristopher
Member since Jan 2008
72352 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 12:45 am to
Was telling my friends win percentage is an absolute joke and can completely change the other way any moment.

I was facing Daniels this week after trading him and was losing by 1 point until his fumble at the end. I ended up winning by 1 point, because of it.

One of the most crazy and unexpected wins.
Posted by EagleEye99
Member since Dec 2017
3179 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 5:59 am to
I was holding my breath to see who they charged the fumble to. Had JCM and won by 0.94 but would have lost if they charged him with another fumble.
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
104350 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 7:10 am to
I lost by .2
Posted by HoldThatTiger03
Work
Member since Mar 2019
522 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 8:59 am to
I had a 1% chance to win at the start of the Monday night games.
I had Drake London and Swift playing
Opponent had JD and Jim playing..

Won by 4

The poor guy I played is 2-4 but has scored the most points in the league. Just horrible luck.
Posted by Nole Man
Somewhere In Tennessee!
Member since May 2011
8677 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 12:17 pm to
Ouch
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