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Message

Foreign 10-year government bond yields rising

Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:47 am
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175828 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:47 am





Is this inflation fear due to renegotiated tariffs AKA inflation fears now that the world can't rip us off anymore or just market fears due to volatility and uncertainty?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89928 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:49 am to
Our 10y treasury is rolling too.

Yields across the globe are increasing as economic recession risks have come down considerably.

Powell isn’t cutting in June now.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452011 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:50 am to
quote:

Powell isn’t cutting in June now.


SDV Suicide watch

[ x ] ON

[__] OFF
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
87864 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:50 am to
quote:

Is this inflation fear due to renegotiated tariffs AKA inflation fears now that the world can't rip us off anymore or just market fears due to volatility and uncertainty?


Most likely. I knew that bonds and yields would rise after a xeal announced cause they would be running to the stock market

Too Later Jerome.better stop playing politics and cut

Chamat has said that Jerome is playing politics on the all in podcast so at least someone agrees with me
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89928 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:52 am to
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175828 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:52 am to
quote:

Our 10y treasury is rolling too.


Yea I saw

I wonder what impact the end of the trade war with China will have on it

Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175828 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:52 am to
quote:

Too Later Jerome.better stop playing politics and cut


Dude...just stop. Things would be worse if he had already cut.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89928 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:53 am to
quote:

I wonder what impact the end of the trade war with China will have on it


Logic would say the pressure is upward on rates.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
87864 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:55 am to
quote:

Dude...just stop. Things would be worse if he had already cut.


What would be worse?

I mean you keep saying this yet inflation is under 2% ans we know jobs numbers are still bullshite

A cut isnt felt till 12mnths later. His dumbarse is why we are at 6-7% rates and why we will get hit with a recession being too late

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89928 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:56 am to
quote:

mean you keep saying this yet inflation is under 2%


What inflation are you using again?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175828 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:56 am to
quote:

Logic would say the pressure is upward on rates.


Trump and Powell showdown incoming
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
165414 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:57 am to
quote:



Trump and Powell showdown incoming

Powell isn't obligated to bend the knee to the whims of politicians
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
87864 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:58 am to
Trueflation. Which im sure you will discredit then provide the BLS inflation like its a gold standard

Always wrong slackster
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
12454 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:59 am to
frick traitor Powell
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
12454 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:59 am to
quote:

SDVTiger


You're one of the only ones here who gets it
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175828 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:00 am to
quote:

yet inflation is under 2%


It was 2.4%

LINK

quote:

What would be worse?


You can't have a trade war and expect inflation to cease to exist

LINK

quote:

Looking ahead, economists are monitoring potential inflationary pressures stemming from recent tariffs introduced between February and April 2025. Goldman Sachs has projected that these tariffs could raise core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation to 3.8% by December 2025, the highest level since 2023 .
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175828 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:00 am to
quote:

Which im sure you will discredit then provide the BLS inflation like its a gold standard


What issue do you have with BLS?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452011 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:01 am to
quote:

You're one of the only ones here who gets it

Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
87864 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:03 am to
quote:

What issue do you have with BLS?


You mean the org that revised its jobs report by 1mil last year

I have every issue with them and so should you

Inflation is below 2% if they used correct shelter numbers with their own data. I have said this for almost a year now
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
133471 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:04 am to
quote:

Powell isn’t cutting in June now.


He will be forced to unless congress starts implementing some spending cuts. Congress will not cut.
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