Unearned runs?

Because neither would have scored if that out is made as the rest of the inning plays out. Milam’s walk would load an empty base, Pearson’s K would have made it 2 outs, so Hernandez’s grounder would have retired the side instead of plating a run.

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That’s not how that works. If that wouldn’t have happen how do you know the rest would have played out like that?

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It’s how it works for scoring earned runs. Would people pitch/swing/play differently? Sure. But all we have to go on is what happened, so you score it AS IF the out was made.

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That’s not how that works. If that wouldn’t have happen how do you know the rest would have played out like that?

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That’s exactly how it works.