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This is the nightmare electoral votes scenario.

Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:10 pm
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
32913 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:10 pm
Trump has to win one of 4 states to win. Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin or Michigan. He cannot lose all four.

This post was edited on 7/19/24 at 2:13 pm
Posted by Jeb Busch Lite
Member since Apr 2016
2531 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:12 pm to
He will win 2 of those. At least.
Posted by jrobic4
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
11884 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:13 pm to
If VA goes Blue, the should be officially removed from the South
Posted by Bama Bird
Pittsburgh, PA
Member since Mar 2013
22569 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:15 pm to
He can actually win without any of them if he wins ME2 and NE2. That would take it to the House, of course, but I'm assuming a GOP majority in that scenario
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
18730 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

If VA goes Blue, the should be officially removed from the South


We should have already removed Georgia
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
14972 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:17 pm to
Virginia is Asian.
Posted by Sam Quint
Member since Sep 2022
8027 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:18 pm to
the fact that this is a very real possibility pretty much says it all about the current state of the union. and it only gets worse from here.
Posted by JYD
Pineville
Member since Oct 2003
8405 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:18 pm to
I think he wins Wisconsin & Pennsylvania at least.
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
32913 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:23 pm to
I think it comes down to these 6 toss-up states. Trump either needs just PA, or a combination of any two of the 6 to win, except just NV and AZ, just NV and WI, or just NV and VA. Nevada and either MI or PA wins it also.

This post was edited on 7/19/24 at 2:27 pm
Posted by stuckintexas
Austin & DFW
Member since Sep 2009
2882 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:24 pm to
Vance and Trump both repeatedly mentioned the battleground states in their speeches. The assassination attempt being in PA has got to impact those voters, hopefully anyway. I think he wins PA.
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
32913 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

If VA goes Blue, the should be officially removed from the South
Bro, do you realize how many cock gobbling federal worker leaches there are in Northern Virginia?
Posted by CR4090
Member since Apr 2023
8013 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:25 pm to
Why not New Mexico?
Posted by ShermanTxTiger
Broussard, La
Member since Oct 2007
11283 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:27 pm to
He can lose all four if he wins NH which is very possible.
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
41934 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:27 pm to
Posted by Pfft
Member since Jul 2014
4837 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:28 pm to
We need to bus a bunch of rednecks up to alaska to get a fourth seat up there.
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
32913 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Why not New Mexico?
New Mexico is lost bro.

A whole state full of welfare recipients and whacko leftists.
Posted by Dreamweaver
Member since Aug 2011
51 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:30 pm to
it does go to the house in that scenario but the choice is made by state delgations, 25 or 26 of the state delegations need to have a majority of r's over d's', absolute majority means nothing, I havent looked recently but the house d's are heavily represented in a few states, which dilutes their strength when it comes to state delegations.
Posted by JasonDBlaha
Woodlands, Texas
Member since Apr 2023
3348 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

If VA goes Blue, the should be officially removed from the South


NOVA voters control the political environment of Virginia. It sucks, but it is what it is. Outside of Blacksburg, southwest Virginia is super desolate and all of its career-focused residents are moving to NOVA for better opportunities
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14351 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:32 pm to
New Hapshire may also be in play... on on poll after Debate and had Trump up...

other 2 polls on RCP from January and May
This post was edited on 7/19/24 at 2:33 pm
Posted by Bama Bird
Pittsburgh, PA
Member since Mar 2013
22569 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:34 pm to
shite, you're right. GOP has a significant advantage
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