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re: Far Fetched just win today but hypothetically.
Posted on 5/10/24 at 2:04 pm to Alt26
Posted on 5/10/24 at 2:04 pm to Alt26
quote:yall really believe the margins are so tight in each game going forward that 5-1, 6-0 gets us a host?
Now, given LSU has been blown out on most Sundays this season I would say 2 sweeps is HIGHLY unlikely. But if they somehow did it there would be an argument for LSU to host.
•2-4 (11-19 SEC; 0% chance at postseason)
•3-3 (12-18 SEC; pretty unanimously agreed upon here on tRant this equals no postseason unless we win SECt)
•4-2 (13-17 SEC; pretty unanimously agreed upon here that LSU sneaks into a regional as a 3-seed in a regional. Historically only 38% of SEC teams have made a regional at 13-17)
But:
•5-1 or 6-0 then LSU is HOSTING a regional?
quote:
No, not far-fetched.
Idk seems pretty far fetched to me
LSU would have to win 9+ games imo between today and selection day to host a regional including SECt play but no reason to get your hopes up for something that won’t happen. LSU could advance through a regional and super without hosting.
1
Posted on 5/10/24 at 3:13 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
So basically your argument is TRant crowdsourcing opinion vs. actual data.
Last year on May 4th Alabama was 30-15 (9-12)
This year on May 3rd LSU was 29-17 (7-14)
Alabama went 7-2 in their final three SEC series over top 25 Vanderbilt, bubble team A&M, and bottom dweller Ole Miss to finish 38-17 (16-14)
Were LSU to go 6-0, that means they would go 8-1 in their final three SEC series over #1 A&M, fringe top 25 Alabama, and bottom dweller Ole Miss to finish 38-18 (15-15)
That means there would be a one game difference between 2024 LSU's and 2023 Alabama's record. Alabama was a host site (#16).
Again, is it more likely than not LSU would get a host site in that scenario? No. But I don't see how you can say it is "pretty far fetched" when an SEC team with a record almost identical to what LSU's would be if they went 6-0 was a host site just last year.
Last year on May 4th Alabama was 30-15 (9-12)
This year on May 3rd LSU was 29-17 (7-14)
Alabama went 7-2 in their final three SEC series over top 25 Vanderbilt, bubble team A&M, and bottom dweller Ole Miss to finish 38-17 (16-14)
Were LSU to go 6-0, that means they would go 8-1 in their final three SEC series over #1 A&M, fringe top 25 Alabama, and bottom dweller Ole Miss to finish 38-18 (15-15)
That means there would be a one game difference between 2024 LSU's and 2023 Alabama's record. Alabama was a host site (#16).
Again, is it more likely than not LSU would get a host site in that scenario? No. But I don't see how you can say it is "pretty far fetched" when an SEC team with a record almost identical to what LSU's would be if they went 6-0 was a host site just last year.
This post was edited on 5/10/24 at 3:16 pm
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