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re: Trump's previous substantial lead in RCP polling is now negligible
Posted on 4/17/24 at 10:40 am to Pecker
Posted on 4/17/24 at 10:40 am to Pecker
quote:
If you truly believe there will be cheating/tampering/illegal voting then you almost have to assume there's very little chance of a Trump victory.
It's about the level of cheating and illegal voting.
Trump was -7.2 going into the 2020 election versus Biden. The level of cheating for Biden in 2020 was off the charts and Biden still barely won.
Trump was -3.2 going into 2016 election versus Hillary. Trump won handedly.
There will be cheating in 2024. But as long as Trump is running neck and neck and leading in the battle ground states I don't believe the Democrats can cheat enough to overcome Trump's lead in 2024.
2
Posted on 4/17/24 at 10:49 am to GumboPot
quote:
Trump was -7.2 going into the 2020 election versus Biden. The level of cheating for Biden in 2020 was off the charts and Biden still barely won.
Trump was -3.2 going into 2016 election versus Hillary. Trump won handedly.
These two statements contradict each other. Trump was able to thread the electoral college needle and beat Hillary in 2016 by about 75,000 total votes in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Electoral score was Trump 304 Hillary 227.
In 2020 Biden was able to beat Trump by about 90,000 votes in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin (Biden didn't even need Georgia or Arizona or Nevada)
Electoral score was Biden 306 Trump 232.
So, if Trump won handedly in 2016 then Biden won handedly in 2020. Can't have it any other way.
Posted on 4/17/24 at 11:04 am to GumboPot
quote:
The level of cheating
Sorest losers in the history of our country.
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