re: Not making the playoffs is now a larger than 20% shot

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Would be tough to see how that arrives at 20%, but not sure if you just made it up on the fly or saw somewhere where above 20% was actually a thing.

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I dont' know where the number came from either, but it sounds about right.

There's a very good chance we end up at 7 right now. I don't know where those 85% numbers to finish top 6 are comign from, but they are vastly overrating the Suns tough schedule. The Suns have 7 games left and i can guarantee you they are treating it like a 7 game playoff series. They'll very likely go 4-3. No one would be surprised if we went 3-4 to close the season out, and that's probably the expectation at this point. The predictor expects our games against the Lakers and Warriors to be victories, when in actuality we'll be underdogs in them.

another big issue we have is it looks like the Lakers might actually pass up the Kings for 8th. Kings have a tough schedule to close the season out, and if they lose tonight to the Clips they are just a game ahead of the Lakers although they do hold the tie breaker wiht them, But the Kings finishing 3-4 would be highly likely. Lakers would need to finish 5-2, but with their schedule, that's very doable.


So if we finish 7th, and have to play the Lakers in the 7/8 game, and if we lose have to play the Warriors to make the playoffs, I don't like our chances at all. Besides the fact that both of those teams have much better closers than us, the league will absolutely want them to beat us to get into the playoffs. And we all know how we perform in big games at home.