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re: COVID Lab Leak Theory Resurfaces After Controversial New Study

Posted on 3/17/24 at 11:44 pm to
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
9912 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 11:44 pm to
I agree. It's a reasonable controversy because there are plausible competing explanations. Where the relevant experts differ from the online baw, though, is their priors are strongly on the side of spillovers because they've seen it a thousand times and there has never in the history of the world been a proven iatrogenic pandemic. Plus, the published literature looks more over time like a spillover. The availability heuristic makes conspiracy SO JUICY THO once the layman learns of a virology lab across town. People get puzzled when they see a story like this claim the "lab leak theory resurfaces" like "WHAT DO YOU MEAN RESURFACES IT WAS NEVER GONE". That's because it's the dominant theory among the public, but it's a minority opinion among experts, although it's not really dead there either.
This post was edited on 3/17/24 at 11:55 pm
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124220 posts
Posted on 3/18/24 at 7:28 am to
quote:

there are plausible competing explanations
Zoonosis without an identifiable originating vector after 4 1/2 yrs of search is not a plausible explanation.
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