re: NFL Free Agency: Kirk Cousins to the Falcons. Justin Fields to the Steelers

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Derrick Henry missed 9 games in 2021 due to injury. In those 9 games, the Titans went 6-3 and averaged 140 rushing yards per game. Their production did not drop off one bit. Know why? Because their very good OL was healthy and they had the same running scheme.

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Ahh we want to cherry pick I see so let’s tell the full story. With Henry they went 6-2 and scored 227 points. That’s 28.4 ppg. Without Henry they score 192 in 9 games which is 21.3 points. They’re with Henry average would have put them at 3 in the league in scoring that season. Without Henry they are 19th.

The year before when he had his 2k season they were 4th in the league in scoring. They lost their playoff game against the Ravens because the Ravens committed to stop Henry and the Titans offense was washed. The year before they won two road playoff games throwing under 100 yards. Why? Henry gave them 204 and 202 yards from scrimmage in those games. Chiefs held him to 61 yards on 21 touches and went on to win the Super Bowl.

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Last year (2022 season), Kansas City made their Super Bowl run with 7th round pick Isiah Pacheco and Georgia Southern QB Jerick McKinnon splitting the load out of the backfield while 1st round pick CEH rode the bench.

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Mahomes

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In 2018, when the Rams made their Super Bowl run, they signed CJ Anderson off the street to replace an injured Todd Gurley and got the same level of production

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Lol not even close dude. Their offense before Gurley’s injury and after are damn near night and day. Healthy Gurley in 2017 giving them 140 yards a game = #1 offense in the league scoring 30 ppg. Healthy Gurley in 2018 giving them 130 yards and a td and half a game = 33 ppg and the #2 scoring offense in the league. 2019 and 2020? 11th 24.5 then 22nd 23.3.

Look at the Panthers with healthy CMac and without. Look at the Niners before CMac and with him now. The two years before the Raiders had Josh Jacobs they averaged 18.1 then 18.8 ppg. Jacobs rookie year they went up to 19.6. They were in the 20s the next 3 years. Jacobs had the worst season of his career in 2023 and they slip back under 20.

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LeVeon Bell is another example. He thought he was more responsible for his success than the Steelers' scheme and OL. He sat out an entire season, signed a huge deal with the Jets, and immediately sucked donkey dick. RBs cannot out-athlete front sevens in modern football. Front sevens have gotten too good.

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Sure if you conveniently ignore that he didn’t play football for an entire year and went from having a top 5 offensive supporting cast to a bottom 3 one. The Jets have been booty for decades on offense. Btw, how did the Steelers do with Bell as opposed to without him? Hint: the only year their offense wasn’t arse was the year Ben threw 675 passes for 5100 yards.

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RBs are a dime a dozen for the most part. Taking one before the 3rd round of the draft is a complete waste of a pick, and signing one to a second contract is a bad use of resources.

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If you have Mahomes, Allen, or Lamar sure. If you don’t, you are going to need that bell cow or you better hope that your QB can effectively throw it 40 plus times a game.