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re: Check in for MBB vs Kentucky on Wednesday 8:00 PM

Posted on 2/20/24 at 11:42 am to
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28738 posts
Posted on 2/20/24 at 11:42 am to
Here is your RIDICULOUSLY optimistic post of the day.

LSU's current NET ranking is 88. They are 5-10 vs. Q1/2 opponents. They are 4-8 away from home. Needless to say, is NOT a NCAA Tournament team right now...or even close. But....

their next two opponents (UK and Miss. St.) are at the moment. The at large teams generally mocked in the 11 seed range (which is part of the play-in games) or in the conversation have NET rankings anywhere between 45-65 or so.

If (HUGE if) LSU were to somehow win out they would finish 19-12. Two of those wins would be over top 40 teams (UK and MSU). And two would be on the road (Arkansas and Vandy). Road wins are like gold to the selection committee. So while a 4-8 record away from home isn't great, 6-8 is obviously a bit better. There were teams that made the tournament last year with losing records away from home. Also of note, LSU's current overall SOS is 17. Now, games against UGA, Arkansas, Vandy, and Missouri will hurt that. But it's not out of the realm of possibility LSU finishes with a top 35 SOS. And could a 6-0 finish get the NET into the low 60 range? Maybe.

Would all of that be enough to get LSU in? I wouldn't bet on it. But if enough carnage on the bubble were to occur LSU could mess around and find themselves in a discussion. Admittedly, their margin for error is basically zero from here on out. But it's not completely out of the realm of message board discussion. At least for today.

Posted by Pnels08
Member since Jul 2014
9183 posts
Posted on 2/20/24 at 12:13 pm to
Yep someone said it in the game thread, if you take out that Nicholls loss and add in one of the TAMU/UGA/FL loss this team is probably a bubble team. Hell if they don't get abused by Syracuse the net would probably be 5 or so points
higher.
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