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re: ESPN reporting that DeBoer is negotiating terms with BAMA
Posted on 1/12/24 at 1:53 pm to PaperTiger
Posted on 1/12/24 at 1:53 pm to PaperTiger
He’s been an FBS head coach for four seasons. He’s not had to build/rebuild a roster over time. Hes not had to maintain a culture for the long haul. Leading over time is not the same as having two good years before you bail out. He’s not been anywhere at the FBS level more than two seasons. He could be great. He could also have two great years and then start to have diminished production wherein he’s canned after year five. The latter is the most predictable expectation.
2
Posted on 1/12/24 at 1:57 pm to Shovelhead
quote:
He could also have two great years and then start to have diminished production wherein he’s canned after year five. The latter is the most predictable expectation.
This is what I see happening.
Top ten (fifteen?) recruiting classes versus the normal #1 or #2 will be his downfall.
Posted on 1/12/24 at 2:03 pm to Shovelhead
quote:To me, this would be the biggest issue.
Hes not had to maintain a culture for the long haul
Anyone you bring in, if you want to replicate the success he had elsewhere, you want him to bring his program system and culture in.
That's always going to be a hard sell at Alabama, where they have about 15 yrs of "the Saban Process" entrenched.
If you're asking DeBoer to start running Saban's system, there's no indication AT ALL that he even understands it, like a Saban protege would. If you're asking him to replace it with his own, there's gonna be pushback at every level, from the big money boosters on down to the waterboys. They've seen what worked, and would be resistant to change.
I've said it in another post, you either bring in a guy with enough weight and presence to clean house and get respect (ie Dabo, Kelly, Smart, Urban maybe), or you bring in a veteran coach to ride the slow decline, and once the luster is off the program you THEN reboot the system.
You CAN'T change the culture right now with a young guy. It just won't happen.
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