Yes, it’s possible.

Anyone that says no doesn’t know what they’re talking about. It’s absolutely possible. It’s admittedly Unlikely if you look at what needs to happen, but nonetheless 100% possible.

Whether now (for NY6) or next year (for CFP), it goes by CFP rankings after the auto-qualifier conference champs are inserted. Most - if not all - of the auto-qualifiers will be in the Top12 anyway (all of the power5 usually are, G5 takes a spot), the rest (at-large) go by CFP ranking so it effectively becomes a race to get into the top11 of the rankings after you assume G5 will take a spot while not being in the Top12

(We’re 15 now, maybe even 14 on Tuesday…. LSU needs some help but can absolutely get in the Top11)

OregonSt and Louisville will lose down the stretch, that alone gets us to 13

BYU or TCU beats Oklahoma and Florida beats Mizzou… there you go: LSU is 11

And if you want some insurance Rutgers over PennSt or MissSt over Ole Miss would certainly help too, but those would be significant upsets.

My only point: If the playoff were starting this year, we are definitely on the outside looking in currently… But we’re also DEFINITELY still in the running to nab one of the final spots. (Same for NY6 bowl this year).

This post was edited on 11/12/23 at 3:35 pm

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Posted by lsusa

Doing Missionary work for LSU

Member since Oct 2005

4749 posts

Posted on 11/13/23 at 1:41 am to JPLSU1981

quote:
Anyone that says no doesn’t know what they’re talking about. It’s absolutely possible. It’s admittedly Unlikely if you look at what needs to happen, but nonetheless 100% possible.

I’m going to go ahead and reply to you/quote you because you’ve absolutely called the dumbasses who can’t thing (say no) out….

LSU is currently #15 in the AP and Coaches Poll. The playoff committee has shown they will do a deeper analysis - it’s sometimes wrong but still generally better - than the polls do in formulating the rankings.

If applied to this season with only six at large berths, LSU would be among 11 teams fighting for six at large spots - Michigan, Oregon, Alabama, Ole Miss, Missouri, Oregon State, Penn State, Louisville, Oklahoma and Utah.

I think all would agree that Alabama & Ole Miss by virtue of H2h get in over LSU, and that likely B10/Pac-12 runners up 1-loss Michigan and 2-loss Oregon get in over LSU as well (or however those conferences fall, the second best team)

That leaves two spots with…

Missouri - lost H2H to LSU
Penn State - no ranked wins
Oregon State - loss to unranked Wazzou and 19 Arizona
Oklahoma- losses to 25 Osu and unranked KU
Louisville - loss to 2-8 Pitt
Utah - 3 top ten losses…hmm..5-6-10

LSUs losses are to 4-8-11

I’ll just say that in a truly objective look, LSU compares favorably with each team there…you’d have a much more sound argument for LSU getting in over each of those teams than you would for any team getting in over LSU, objectively of course.

Only Oklahoma has a better win. Utah arguably has “better losses”, though they were blown out at home vs all of LSUs on the road

So to answer the question, with the season not over today I’d say that LSU has a damn strong case to be one of the top six At Large bids —- IF IF IF the selectors aren’t simply lazy and actually do comparisons.

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