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Rare opportunity - When the fed starts cutting

Posted on 11/6/23 at 1:10 pm
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16049 posts
Posted on 11/6/23 at 1:10 pm
Lots of negativity around.
Recession talk… high interest rates…. War… political fighting… so much negativity.

Looking at the stock market, it’s remarkably resilient considering all the negativity.

One of the biggest issues keeping stocks tempered is high interest rates. Afterall-Many people are happy to get a safe 5% return versus the risk brought with owning stocks.

There’s going to come a time though, when the fed will start to cut rates.
I don’t know when but I am certain that they will. It is almost certain to bring an upward run in stocks.
Best wishes to all who are able to enjoy that run


This post was edited on 11/6/23 at 1:30 pm
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4891 posts
Posted on 11/6/23 at 1:38 pm to
Maybe, maybe not. It depends on why they’re cutting rates.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38423 posts
Posted on 11/6/23 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

It is almost certain to bring an upward run in stocks.



I beg you to see what has happened historically when the fed starts cutting rates and then come back here and let us know.

quote:

Maybe, maybe not. It depends on why they’re cutting rates.


This guy knows.
This post was edited on 11/6/23 at 1:59 pm
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 11/6/23 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

I don’t know when but I am certain that they will. It is almost certain to bring an upward run in stocks.
What's the current multiple of the S&P? Whatever it is, it seems way too high for the beginning of a bull market.
This post was edited on 11/6/23 at 2:21 pm
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
5311 posts
Posted on 11/6/23 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

Maybe, maybe not. It depends on why they’re cutting rates.

The Administration will browbeat the Fed into bailing them out before 2024 election. No matter which puppet they stick in Biden’s place.
Posted by Thundercles
Mars
Member since Sep 2010
6133 posts
Posted on 11/6/23 at 2:37 pm to
In past crashes the actual crash started around 9 months after the Fed pivoted on rates. Not saying it always happens on that kind of delay, but that is what history has shown.
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 11/6/23 at 2:55 pm to
I wouldn't count on significant rate cuts without a deep recession. The rates today are more normal historically than what we have had the last 10-12 years.
This post was edited on 11/6/23 at 2:57 pm
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