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re: Every time I passed on a real estate purchase because the price was too high...

Posted on 10/12/23 at 11:45 am to
Posted by Tigrenutz
Tx
Member since Feb 2020
60 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 11:45 am to
That $3300/mo comes with tax deductions of ~500/mo for income tax on mortgage interest at 7.45% mortgage if you're in 20% income tax bracket, and $200/mo property tax savings (based on $6K/yr prop tax)
Your net home ownership experience after tax is ~$2600/mo compared to $1800/mo rent.
Now for the savings side:
$5100/yr towards principle vs 18000+interest in your HYSA so you're "saving $13,800 difference in HYSA vs principle on mortgage.
Now consider if your home appreciates 5%/yr or up to 472,500 in yr 1, now you're down pmt of $16,875 + the principle in yr 1 is $21,975, but your real equity in your home is now $44,475 and you have 18,900 in HYSA.
This is where buying vs. renting builds wealth. No, i'm not in real estate or mortgage lending. My numbers above could certainly stand some refinement but in general, rent almost never beats owning.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33655 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Now consider if your home appreciates 5%/yr
Long-term American real estate has compounded at like 100% over the past century. 5% a year would be insane.

quote:

but in general, rent almost never beats owning.
This is simply false. It's highly situational and it's the type of "thinking" that led in part to the housing bubble 15 years ago.

I also think your P & I numbers and tax assumptions are off.

I also don't see any allowance for maintenance - which a conservative analysis would allow at least 1% of property value per year for.
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