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The BCS has been more right than we think

Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:10 pm
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:10 pm
Any team who has ever claimed that they've gotten screwed by the BCS has always had a lower SOS than the team that snuck in ahead of them.

2000, Miami. Same record as Florida State. FSU had the tougher schedule and got the nod. Injustice? No. The BCS got it right.

2001, Oregon. Nebraska was 11-1; Oregon was 10-1. Nebraska had a higher SOS. Injustice? No. The BCS got it right.

2003, Southern California. Oklahoma 12-1, LSU 11-1 (1A), USC 11-1. Oklahoma had the highest SOS, and LSU second. OU/LSU in the title game. The BCS got it right (no matter how wrong it seemed).

2004, Auburn. Oklahoma and Southern California had higher SOS's than Auburn. The BCS isn't supposed to sympathize with Auburn because a team bailed on them; the BCS chose the two most qualified teams, which is what its objective is. The BCS got it right.

2006, Michigan. Florida and Michigan were both 11-1 (vs. 1A). Florida had a higher SOS. It's as simple as that. The BCS got it right.

2007, Virginia Tech, Oklahoma, Missouri, Southern California, Kansas, West Virginia, Arizona State. LSU had a higher SOS than all of them. Kansas, who is the only one mentioned who had only one loss, had the 5th weakest schedule in the country (and to their credit, they did little to no bitching). LSU was ranked #2 in the polls and the computers. The only possible complaint could come from Virginia Tech, who was #1 in the computers (Ohio State was #3). Again, all things considered, the BCS got it right.


The BCS is designed to pick the best two teams, and it has never failed in doing that.

About 99% of the people who bash the BCS (even and especially the ones on TV) have no idea wtf they're talking about.
This post was edited on 12/1/08 at 4:12 pm
Posted by MJRuffalo
Huntington Beach
Member since May 2008
6619 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:11 pm to
What was UW's SOS in 2000. They were also a 1 loss team and they beat Miami.
Posted by lsumatt
Austin
Member since Feb 2005
12812 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:17 pm to
And its exactly what the computers do. If anything the human polls throw that off. People act like the computers are this black box where out come some crazy results. But the truth is that if 2 teams have the same record the one with the harder SOS comes out on top. You can argue that SOS is subjective (and it is), but most of the time all the computers agree well by the end of the season.

And that seems fair to me. If two teams have the same record, the team that had a tougher schedule to do it DESERVES to be there.

I defended USC and OU over Auburn for that reason in 2004. I definitely defended OU in 2003 as their schedule was super tough.
Posted by LSUTANGERINE
Baton Rouge and Northshore LA
Member since Sep 2006
37898 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

The BCS is designed to pick the best two teams, and it has never failed in doing that.


No way to know if they've picked the two "best" teams. What they do is pick the two highest ranked BCS teams, at which they will never fail, by definition.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47827 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:23 pm to
quote:


I defended USC and OU over Auburn for that reason in 2004.


I'm not saying the system was wrong in the teams it chose, I'm saying that using that particular system is wrong. Leaving out a BCS unbeaten like that shouldn't be permitted.
Posted by aibo synthetic
into bolivian
Member since Nov 2007
3412 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

2001, Oregon. Nebraska was 11-1; Oregon was 10-1. Nebraska had a higher SOS. Injustice? No. The BCS got it right.

2003, Southern California. Oklahoma 12-1, LSU 11-1 (1A), USC 11-1. Oklahoma had the highest SOS, and LSU second. OU/LSU in the title game. The BCS got it right (no matter how wrong it seemed).


bullshite aaaaaannnndd bullshite.

You can not, I repeat not, get your arse womped in your last game and go in over teams with similar resumes that are on a roll.
This post was edited on 12/1/08 at 4:28 pm
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
11422 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

The BCS is designed to pick the best two teams, and it has never failed in doing that.


The only thing I would change in that sentence is that it picks the most DESERVING two teams.
Posted by 7inLimp
Member since Dec 2007
216 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

The BCS is designed to pick the best two teams, and it has never failed in doing that.
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

You can not, I repeat not, get your arse womped in your last game and go in over teams with similar resumes that are on a roll.
Yes you can. It's been done twice.
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

The only thing I would change in that sentence is that it picks the most DESERVING two teams.
Fair enough.
Posted by MJRuffalo
Huntington Beach
Member since May 2008
6619 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

yes it has been done twice,
and proven to wrong both times.
This post was edited on 12/1/08 at 4:33 pm
Posted by aibo synthetic
into bolivian
Member since Nov 2007
3412 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

Yes you can. It's been done twice.




Are we talking what is, or what is right?
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47827 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:30 pm to
The BCS does what it was designed to do, I just think its a terrible way to go about deciding a national title. Probably better than the old way, but any system that doesn't even offer an unbeaten team in a major conference a chance has a fatal flaw.
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
11422 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

You can not, I repeat not, get your arse womped in your last game and go in over teams with similar resumes that are on a roll.


Why not? The BCS is not designed to necessarily pick those who are the hottest, or those who last early in the season. It's designed to choose the 2 teams with the best "resume'". And all teams/coaches/ADs/conferences know this before the season starts. So why bitch about it after the season is over. There are some rule changes I would debate about, for an upcoming season, but arguing about existing rules is pointless.
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

he BCS does what it was designed to do, I just think its a terrible way to go about deciding a national title. Probably better than the old way, but any system that doesn't even offer an unbeaten team in a major conference a chance has a fatal flaw.
In the old days, USC would have been undefeated in the Rose Bowl, Auburn undefeated in the Sugar, and Oklahoma undefeated in the Orange.

Leaving one out is better than leaving two out, eh?
This post was edited on 12/1/08 at 4:33 pm
Posted by aibo synthetic
into bolivian
Member since Nov 2007
3412 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:32 pm to
The idea that losing late should not be counted any differently that losing early is absurd.

Good teams, championship teams, get better as the season progresses. They do not get woodshedded in their final regular season game by decided underdogs.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47827 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

In the old days, USC would have been undefeated in the Rose Bowl, Auburn undefeated in the Sugar, and Oklahoma undefeated in the Orange.

Leaving one out is better than leaving two out, eh?



Well then don't use the old way either.
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

The idea that losing late should not be counted any differently that losing early is absurd.
They each count as one win/loss. Absurd? Not at all.
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

The BCS has been more right than we think
The idea that losing late should not be counted any differently that losing early is absurd.

Good teams, championship teams, get better as the season progresses. They do not get woodshedded in their final regular season game by decided underdogs.
Sure they do.

Signed,

Les Miles
Posted by MJRuffalo
Huntington Beach
Member since May 2008
6619 posts
Posted on 12/1/08 at 4:34 pm to
I
quote:

n the old days, USC would have been undefeated in the Rose Bowl, Auburn undefeated in the Sugar, and Oklahoma undefeated in the Orange.

Leaving one out is better than leaving two out, eh?



USC would have been NC's in either way.
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