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re: Using 2020 data and/or recent STATE polls, show us what Swing States Trump could win ...
Posted on 7/27/23 at 9:10 pm to Marcus Aurelius
Posted on 7/27/23 at 9:10 pm to Marcus Aurelius
No you didnt. You Ronbois constantly lie about everything
On 538 the latest poll in GA by the Premise group has Trump +4. Also Cygnal has Trump +1
On 538 the latest poll in AZ by the Prime group has Trump +4. Rasmussen has Trump +11
Nevada Newsmakers poll has Trump +8 in NV
On 538 the latest poll in PA by Quinnipiac has Trump +1, the Prime group has Trump EVEN
Those states get Trump to 287 EVs.
On 538 the latest poll in GA by the Premise group has Trump +4. Also Cygnal has Trump +1
On 538 the latest poll in AZ by the Prime group has Trump +4. Rasmussen has Trump +11
Nevada Newsmakers poll has Trump +8 in NV
On 538 the latest poll in PA by Quinnipiac has Trump +1, the Prime group has Trump EVEN
Those states get Trump to 287 EVs.
2
Posted on 7/27/23 at 9:27 pm to RobbBobb
quote:
On 538 the latest poll in GA by the Premise group has Trump +4. Also Cygnal has Trump +1
On 538 the latest poll in AZ by the Prime group has Trump +4. Rasmussen has Trump +11
Nevada Newsmakers poll has Trump +8 in NV
On 538 the latest poll in PA by Quinnipiac has Trump +1, the Prime group has Trump EVEN
Those states get Trump to 287 EVs.
not only that its just sampling. 538 runs 100k simulations during the month of. even at Clinton high water before fbi comey did a 2nd presser, trump was winning 13,000 simulations a day. one of those combos happened. he could win again.
Posted on 7/27/23 at 9:29 pm to RobbBobb
That is mostly ... maybe all ... bs.
Yes I did.
Cygnal is a GOP SuperPAC poll
Rasmussen is a GOP pollster
Prime Group is a political Washington DC group - which you mentioned twice.
THOSE ARE NO DIFFERENT THAN "Public Opinions Strategies polls". Show the evidence that the Never Back Down PAC paid them to do polls. LINK?
You mentioned Nevada Newsmakers state poll (looks like a political news org of some sort)... which showed in May DeSantis up +10 and Trump up by +8 (my math shows that as being less)... but left off the other state poll with Biden up by 8 on Trump and only 1 on DeSantis. Regardless, neither of those met the criteria I mentioned. Can either be taken seriously?
I gave Trump the benefit of the doubt and gave him PA and that would not get him to 270.
"No you didnt. You Ronbois constantly lie about everything
On 538 the latest poll in GA by the Premise group has Trump +4. Also Cygnal has Trump +1
On 538 the latest poll in AZ by the Prime group has Trump +4. Rasmussen has Trump +11
Nevada Newsmakers poll has Trump +8 in NV
On 538 the latest poll in PA by Quinnipiac has Trump +1, the Prime group has Trump EVEN
Those states get Trump to 287 EVs."
Yes I did.
Cygnal is a GOP SuperPAC poll
Rasmussen is a GOP pollster
Prime Group is a political Washington DC group - which you mentioned twice.
THOSE ARE NO DIFFERENT THAN "Public Opinions Strategies polls". Show the evidence that the Never Back Down PAC paid them to do polls. LINK?
You mentioned Nevada Newsmakers state poll (looks like a political news org of some sort)... which showed in May DeSantis up +10 and Trump up by +8 (my math shows that as being less)... but left off the other state poll with Biden up by 8 on Trump and only 1 on DeSantis. Regardless, neither of those met the criteria I mentioned. Can either be taken seriously?
I gave Trump the benefit of the doubt and gave him PA and that would not get him to 270.
"No you didnt. You Ronbois constantly lie about everything
On 538 the latest poll in GA by the Premise group has Trump +4. Also Cygnal has Trump +1
On 538 the latest poll in AZ by the Prime group has Trump +4. Rasmussen has Trump +11
Nevada Newsmakers poll has Trump +8 in NV
On 538 the latest poll in PA by Quinnipiac has Trump +1, the Prime group has Trump EVEN
Those states get Trump to 287 EVs."
This post was edited on 7/27/23 at 10:02 pm
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