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re: Using 2020 data and/or recent STATE polls, show us what Swing States Trump could win ...

Posted on 7/27/23 at 12:50 pm to
Posted by CubsFanBudMan
Member since Jul 2008
5114 posts
Posted on 7/27/23 at 12:50 pm to
Can I use 2016 data as well? The amount of decrease in 3rd party vote totals from 2016 to 2020 for AZ, GA, MI, PA, and WI is larger than Biden's margin of victory. 3rd party candidates are an unknown for 2024, and RFK as a 3rd party could destroy the Dems. Also, can the Dems duplicate the amount of non-in-person votes in 2024, or can they motivate them to vote in person at a higher level than 2020?

What does DeSantis offer to a 2020 Biden voter that would make them switch, other than he's not Trump?
This post was edited on 7/27/23 at 1:58 pm
Posted by POTUS2024
Member since Nov 2022
11680 posts
Posted on 7/27/23 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

The amount of decrease in 3rd party vote totals from 2016 to 2020 for AZ, GA, MI, PA, and WI is larger than Biden's margin of victory.


I did not know this. Is there a reason?

quote:

Also, can the Dems duplicate the amount of non-in-person votes in 2024, or can they motivate them to vote in person at a higher level than 2020?


If they cheated in 2020, I'm thinking their operation would just get more efficient in 2024.
Posted by Marcus Aurelius
LA
Member since Oct 2020
3900 posts
Posted on 7/27/23 at 4:19 pm to
Despite what many post on here, a third party candidate could have an impact as it does not take many votes in a couple of states to have an impact. But, so far, the only serious discussion of third party has been No Labels and they only intend to put up a candidate IF it is Biden vs Trump. I'm not convinced of that. We're a heart attack, or fall, away from Prez Kamala.
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