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re: Jon Ham cherry picks data to validate his hypothesis

Posted on 7/3/23 at 1:48 pm to
Posted by CubsFanBudMan
Member since Jul 2008
5121 posts
Posted on 7/3/23 at 1:48 pm to
Here's the GA stats for you:

Both Trump and Dem had an increased percentage of total votes from 2016 (Clinton) to 2020 (Biden) in the over 50% of counties. Trump 86 counties increased to 73 decreased. Dems 102 counties increased to 57 decreased. Trump's margin of victory/defeat improved in 126 out of 59 counties from 2016 to 2020.

2016 3rd party candidates (Johnson, Stein, and others) recorded 125,306 votes.
2020 3rd party candidates (Jorgensen and others) recorded 64,473 votes.

In both WI & GA, the decrease in 3rd party votes from 2016 to 2020 is larger than Biden's margin of victory in 2020.
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28656 posts
Posted on 7/3/23 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

Here's the GA stats for you:

Both Trump and Dem had an increased percentage of total votes from 2016 (Clinton) to 2020 (Biden) in the over 50% of counties. Trump 86 counties increased to 73 decreased. Dems 102 counties increased to 57 decreased. Trump's margin of victory/defeat improved in 126 out of 59 counties from 2016 to 2020.

2016 3rd party candidates (Johnson, Stein, and others) recorded 125,306 votes.
2020 3rd party candidates (Jorgensen and others) recorded 64,473 votes.

In both WI & GA, the decrease in 3rd party votes from 2016 to 2020 is larger than Biden's margin of victory in 2020.


You’ve stated a bunch of stats without showing your work, congrats. Now assuming your stats are true, what’s your point or conclusion?
Posted by CubsFanBudMan
Member since Jul 2008
5121 posts
Posted on 7/3/23 at 2:08 pm to
Here's the MI stats for you:

Both Trump and Dem had an increased percentage of total votes from 2016 (Clinton) to 2020 (Biden) in the over 50% of counties. Trump 63 counties increased to 20 decreased. Dems 81 counties increased to 2 decreased. Trump's margin of victory/defeat improved in 58 out of 83 counties from 2016 to 2020.

2016 3rd party candidates (Johnson, Stein, and others) recorded 250,902 votes.
2020 3rd party candidates (Jorgensen and others) recorded 93,163 votes.

Once again, the decrease in 3rd party votes from 2016 to 2020 is larger than Biden's margin of victory in 2020.
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