re: There’s no negative to not starting Skenes

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You can avoid this. If there’s a man on first and second with no outs in the first inning, bring Skenes in.

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You know he's not actually magical, right? He's the best pitcher in college baseball, but even the best pitcher is liable to give up a run or two in bad situations. Waiting to get into a bad situation before putting him in isn't a guarantee that we will get out of it clean. And 1 or 2 runs could very easily be the difference in a game against their ace.

Not starting Skenes is 100% risking tomorrow's game in the hopes of getting him for the Championships Series. That is precisely what "saving him" means. And whether it's a smart bet or a dumb bet, it's definitely a gamble.