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Message
re: 2016 Election Swing
Posted on 6/4/23 at 2:28 pm to RammerJammer91
Posted on 6/4/23 at 2:28 pm to RammerJammer91
quote:
-Trump outworked Hillary in the midwest swing states
-Jill Stein played spoiler in the midwest swing states
-Trump won the vote among those who disliked both candidates but were driven to vote against someone
-Late-deciding voters broke for Trump
Those were the biggest reasons. The 2nd point is big because Trump carried MI/PA/WI by approximately 78K votes combined. Jill Stein was on the ballot and took 132K votes away from Hillary in those 3 states. Without Jill Stein, Hillary wins those 3 states and the Electoral College.
All of this too.
Just a really lucky confluence of factors (which will never be repeated again) that resulted in Trump barely squeaking by the most disliked presidential candidate in history.
Posted on 6/4/23 at 2:45 pm to Message Board User
I went back a few weeks ago and looked at the RCP average with other Republicans. Kasich and Rubio were up on Hillary by 7 and 4 points respectively. That's how hated she was. Think about that...if Marco freaking Rubio was the nominee Hillary would've lost more states and lost the Popular Vote. Hillary probably loses MN, NV, and NH at a minimum with CO and VA being coin-flips.
Posted on 6/4/23 at 11:49 pm to Message Board User
Message board cuck
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