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re: Jobs Numbers

Posted on 6/2/23 at 11:15 am to
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51809 posts
Posted on 6/2/23 at 11:15 am to
quote:

What? Japan has long ago blasted through the threshold you have laid out as terminal. Why haven't they defaulted yet?


I don't live in Japan, I don't follow what they're doing much beyond how much of our debt they own and knowing they have debt problems of their own.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33584 posts
Posted on 6/2/23 at 12:53 pm to
quote:


I don't live in Japan, I don't follow what they're doing much beyond how much of our debt they own and knowing they have debt problems of their own.
What they're doing is running a MASSIVE debt that makes the US look like child's play. It's like 225%+ of their GDP and debt service (despite the preposterously low interest rates there) is ~25% of outlays.

By your casual prescriptions, they should have defaulted long ago. Yet, to me, I'd be surprised if they defaulted in the next 100 years.

It's going to be a long, painful road for you if your are making investment bets predicated on the US defaulting.
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