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Started By
Message
Pulled the trigger on AMZN
Posted on 1/5/23 at 6:41 pm
Posted on 1/5/23 at 6:41 pm
Like everything else, it may well go down further, but in time I don't think I will regret it @ $83.05
10
Posted on 1/5/23 at 6:44 pm to oneg8rh8r
I'm wondering about AAPL and MSFT too.
This post was edited on 1/5/23 at 6:44 pm
Posted on 1/5/23 at 6:54 pm to oneg8rh8r
Until i see some holiday sales numbers, i'm not touching anything retail. I suspect they will be very ugly.
Posted on 1/5/23 at 7:05 pm to j1897
I kind of agree, but the other day leaving my house, headed to work, I passed about 100 vehicles. NO LIE, more than 1/2 were Amazon vehicles. Got me thinking.
We might be in a recession, we will have interest rates go up, but people still need necessities, and it seems that MANY are getting them from Amazon.
We might be in a recession, we will have interest rates go up, but people still need necessities, and it seems that MANY are getting them from Amazon.
Posted on 1/5/23 at 7:15 pm to oneg8rh8r
"I passed about 100 vehicles. NO LIE, more than 1/2 were Amazon vehicles"
--
May have been heading to the auction block with all the layoffs!
You're good long-term.
--
May have been heading to the auction block with all the layoffs!
You're good long-term.
Posted on 1/5/23 at 7:23 pm to oneg8rh8r
quote:
Like everything else, it may well go down further, but in time I don't think I will regret it @ $83.05
Welcome to hell. I'm in at $99.50.
Posted on 1/5/23 at 7:27 pm to j1897
Only thing that can save most is if they “guided down “ enough so they can spin with the whole “beat expectations” thing
Early data suggests the holiday retail season won’t look pretty (inflated - sure - but less “stuff” bought etc)
Early data suggests the holiday retail season won’t look pretty (inflated - sure - but less “stuff” bought etc)
Posted on 1/5/23 at 8:03 pm to oneg8rh8r
quote:
I kind of agree, but the other day leaving my house, headed to work, I passed about 100 vehicles. NO LIE, more than 1/2 were Amazon vehicles. Got me thinking.
They might be half full… which will bleed even more cash. Or they’re busting at the seams. Nobody knows.
Posted on 1/5/23 at 8:05 pm to Shankopotomus
Agreed. Based on the long run sales I’m seeing in online retail, I’m going to guess they were weak and/or they just over ordered inventory. Check nearly any brand you normally buy from. There likely still running a 50% off sale
Posted on 1/5/23 at 8:10 pm to j1897
quote:
Until i see some holiday sales numbers, i'm not touching anything retail. I suspect they will be very ugly.
Not the game to play. Anticipate the fed pivot
Posted on 1/5/23 at 8:37 pm to I Love Bama
It will be a long time until the fed pivots. Don’t kid yourself.
Posted on 1/5/23 at 9:34 pm to Revorising
And when they do actually pivot, it’s going to be because we have a dire reason to. And if you look at a chart of when the fed finally does pivot, it ain’t pretty.
For those hoping for a Fed pivot, this is what happens after the pivot. Be careful for what you wish for...
For those hoping for a Fed pivot, this is what happens after the pivot. Be careful for what you wish for...
Posted on 1/5/23 at 10:00 pm to TigerDeBaiter
Those are all pretty terrible analogs considering the Fed is raising rates into a declining equity market, something that didn’t happen in any of those examples.
Posted on 1/5/23 at 10:11 pm to oneg8rh8r
I do a ton of Amazon worker’s disability claims and have friends in other states who do as well. They self insure and have to be hemorrhaging money on this from what I see. You have no idea how many people work 3 months, tell a supervisor they are suicidal, then get a check the rest of their life.
This post was edited on 1/5/23 at 10:12 pm
Posted on 1/5/23 at 10:17 pm to Drizzt
quote:
people work 3 months, tell a supervisor they are suicidal, then get a check the rest of their life.
Posted on 1/6/23 at 8:25 am to Revorising
quote:
It will be a long time until the fed pivots. Don’t kid yourself.
Not my point. The actual numbers are meaningless now. Look at how the market reacts when EMPLOYMENT rates are HIGHER than expected. The market goes down.
Ponder how absolutely insane that is!
Market is just moving with the feds. It's not time to invest until they pivot.
Posted on 1/6/23 at 8:35 am to I Love Bama
That shows the disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street.
Posted on 1/6/23 at 8:50 am to oneg8rh8r
quote:
That shows the disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street.
Yup. The financial world is separating from the real world ushering in the great reset.
Posted on 1/6/23 at 9:18 am to oneg8rh8r
quote:My wife used to use Amazon for everything. Still get more boxes than I would like, but she uses multiple places to shop online now versus always going to Amazon. The more educated the consumer gets as to what is available online they will realize that AMZN is not always the answer.
We might be in a recession, we will have interest rates go up, but people still need necessities, and it seems that MANY are getting them from Amazon.
I think the more educated consumer is Amazons biggest threat.
Posted on 1/6/23 at 9:23 am to oneg8rh8r
What drove your decision?
DCF
Intuition
You are Jeff Bezos
?
DCF
Intuition
You are Jeff Bezos
?
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