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re: Kevin Pelton's model win projection for 22-23 season

Posted on 9/29/22 at 3:34 pm to
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25786 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 3:34 pm to
If your model shows something that hasn't come even remotely close to happening in the last 20 years, maybe you need to get back to the drawing board on how you designed your model.

If your model shows the defending champs, who didn't lose anyone off their team, with a losing record, on top of the fact that your model shows the team with the most wins last year, also not losing anyone of importance off their team winning 15 less games than last year, your model is pointless for anyone to take it seriously.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

your model shows the defending champs, who didn't lose anyone off their team, with a losing record,


they lost a very good defender (think Alvarado at 6 3 with hops) who was in the short playoff rotation until Dickwad Brooks broke his arm and otto porter who was his best ever (still not up to his draft position) and in the short rotation and I think even started one and got a deal elsewhere.

Klay is probably 95%.
wiseman is healthy.
will be asked to do less.
Patrick Baldwin may be the steal of the draft.
onward.

Posted by supe12sta12z
Tiger Town
Member since Apr 2012
10476 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 5:08 pm to
Yea that’s crazy. With a bench featuring Poole, Moody, Iggy, Kuminga, and Wiseman. They are very long and athletic as well as explosive. I don’t understand why any model can have them that low. They have enough talent and depth to overcome injuries and they’ve been managing their stars minutes pretty well. They are still the standard every team hopes to conquer.
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