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re: Have we discussed the Milkshake theory? It appears to be happening.

Posted on 9/29/22 at 12:44 pm to
Posted by Shankopotomus
Social Distanced
Member since Feb 2009
21057 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 12:44 pm to
yep. EURO DOLLAR (offshore / off balance sheet)

the offshore derivative and overnight bet/swap market and whatever is an absolute monster that could - and might - destroy everything

Basically even Husss (!!!) is right that all fiats will fail, eventually, however the main milkshake theory point to consider here is like a good old stack of dominoes failing. Just as we saw with the Bank of England, there are many other fiat currencies around the world that will fail with the result being the US Dollar is extremely likely to be the last fiat domino to fall ...

So

as currencies begin to truly fail worldwide - the US dollar will actually keep getting stronger until the whole fricking thing breaks (Fed pivot = lower interest rates)

AS part of my work I analyze the macro - and in the real estate world was told I was crazy last year three years ago - now my email box is full of people asking market cycle shite as if I am some sage (I am NOT)



Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80829 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

as currencies begin to truly fail worldwide - the US dollar will actually keep getting stronger until the whole fricking thing breaks (Fed pivot = lower interest rates)

This is the end game of the theory. It could be a year, it could be 50 years. No telling how long it will take, we could all be dead by that point. It really depends on how many tricks central banks have up their sleeve to keep it going.
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
1688 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 8:52 am to
Shankopotomous..
So is there a safe haven in hard assetts such ad realestate that you already own or should one sell (in light of the initial comment that everything tanks but the dollar continues to rise).
Is everything tanking inclusive of even real estate? Ive always heard that in inflationary environments you want to hold appreciating assets.
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