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re: All the media outlets are warning of recession

Posted on 9/23/22 at 2:34 pm to
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89620 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Definition change of "recession" coming in 3,2,1...



They tried that once the criteria were all met last quarter. I'm surprised folks didn't buy it more generally.
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
134887 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

They tried that once the criteria were all met last quarter. I'm surprised folks didn't buy it more generally.



The stories they're going to concoct between now and Nov to run cover for this are going to be fricking wild
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51816 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

quote:

Definition change of "recession" coming in 3,2,1...


They tried that once the criteria were all met last quarter. I'm surprised folks didn't buy it more generally.


Quite a few did. I can't tell you the number of people I talked with at that time who tried to carry that vague water for the administration. I would try to pin them down to exacting data, but none could ever come up with anything (because nothing more exacting than the shorthand "2 consecutive quarters of declining GDP" exists).

Advanced 3rd quarter GDP numbers come out 10/27 @ 8:30am Eastern. I'm expecting another drop (primarily due to energy and food prices continuing to spike). If so, the market continues taking a massive shite.

As I've been saying... this is only the beginning of the middle.
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