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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Season - 98L Heading Towards S. Texas NHC 10%
Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:42 pm to Duke
Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:42 pm to Duke
This deserves posting here:
@TylerWSFA12
@backinblack_wx
@TylerWSFA12
quote:
Question for #wxtwitter on this fine Wednesday:
At what point do we at least sort of believe what the GFS is doing?
@backinblack_wx
quote:
Let me help…when there’s broad ensemble support. The gfs has had 16 runs since June 1st where a hurricane has impacted the northern gulf coast outside of 240 hours out. We have had 0 hurricanes impact the northern gulf coast and that includes times of several runs in a row.
Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:46 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
broad ensemble support
This also doesn't mean a few members either. I feel like the same theme is repeated every year.
GFS has been horrible this year, especially that far out. Euro has been ok, if not too conservative. Canadian is, well, it's the Canadian. UKMET is doing ok this year, I think.
If ensembles show "broad" support for that Gulf system, I'll start to pay attention.
This post was edited on 8/17/22 at 3:47 pm
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