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re: Daily betting thread 3/20 - sweet 16 bound
Posted on 3/20/22 at 11:02 pm to LSUguy2023
Posted on 3/20/22 at 11:02 pm to LSUguy2023
Looks like my luck has run out with hitting middles. Started with $60 a few weeks ago and after this game I’ll have either $1,020.01 or $1,034.61 or $1,454.62 in my account. Definitely cashing out and calling it a season.
Pigs get fed. Hogs get slaughtered.
Pigs get fed. Hogs get slaughtered.
Posted on 3/20/22 at 11:03 pm to BOSCEAUX
So much for thinking I had a shot a getting zona -5.5 and then they jetted out to a 9 point lead. frick this day
Posted on 3/20/22 at 11:11 pm to NoMercy
Sweating out at a TCU moneyline bet. Would be my biggest win of March madness
Posted on 3/20/22 at 11:14 pm to NoMercy
Brutal day with all the upsets. Parlays got wrecked.
Posted on 3/20/22 at 11:38 pm to DaTruth7
oh shite!!! The middle of Arizona -4.5 and TCU +17.5 hit!!!
Posted on 3/20/22 at 11:40 pm to PrideofTheSEC
So close to huge winner there. TCU ran out of steam in OT unfortunately
Posted on 3/20/22 at 11:46 pm to PrideofTheSEC
Dumped $50 ML on zona start of OT and had a boost. That took some of the sting out of the day. Of course we could not grab that last board to get to the line and cover my -5.5 $56 live bet around mid 2nd half and only won by 5
Posted on 3/20/22 at 11:53 pm to LSUguy2023
it's just the typical no rhyme or reason to any of this sports betting
went 11 for 12 yesterday ... couldn't lose.
went 0 for 9 today ... couldn't find a tractor in a haystack
any of these "professional" sports bettors who tell you that they're picking over 60% winners are just flat out lying.
went 11 for 12 yesterday ... couldn't lose.
went 0 for 9 today ... couldn't find a tractor in a haystack
any of these "professional" sports bettors who tell you that they're picking over 60% winners are just flat out lying.
Posted on 3/21/22 at 12:19 am to ZIGG
It’s all about betting the smart lines and finding as many angles as possible. Live betting was so much easier this weekend than trying to pick totals and spreads.
Also important to know when your bet is lost and to pivot to the other side. Live betting has really made it a lot easier, the algorithms aren’t as good at predicting game flow live. But obviously it’s tough to tout live bets and the lines move so quick you really can’t give out picks in time.
ETA good example is for the tcu ml people. Smart thing to do would have been to pivot and take gonzaga -0.5 live going into Ot. I’m shocked they even gave out that number.
Also important to know when your bet is lost and to pivot to the other side. Live betting has really made it a lot easier, the algorithms aren’t as good at predicting game flow live. But obviously it’s tough to tout live bets and the lines move so quick you really can’t give out picks in time.
ETA good example is for the tcu ml people. Smart thing to do would have been to pivot and take gonzaga -0.5 live going into Ot. I’m shocked they even gave out that number.
This post was edited on 3/21/22 at 12:21 am
Posted on 3/21/22 at 2:06 am to hiltacular
quote:
It’s all about betting the smart lines and finding as many angles as possible. Live betting was so much easier this weekend than trying to pick totals and spreads.
Also important to know when your bet is lost and to pivot to the other side. Live betting has really made it a lot easier, the algorithms aren’t as good at predicting game flow live. But obviously it’s tough to tout live bets and the lines move so quick you really can’t give out picks in time.
ETA good example is for the tcu ml people. Smart thing to do would have been to pivot and take gonzaga -0.5 live going into Ot. I’m shocked they even gave out that number.
Live betting is great when you have some knowledge of the teams playing. The algorithms are good, but there is always a great play to be found. For example, midway through the second half today while Auburn was down by 10, the alternate line of Miami -11.5 was available for +425. Seeing how Auburn was slowing losing steam, I took it and it hit for a nice profit.
I also took Auburn U72.5 points during halftime. My rationale is that Auburn scored 32 in the first half and was in an absolute dogfight. I was willing to bet they wouldn’t score 40 in the second half and that bet hit.
On the other hand, the second half is typically the higher scoring half, so if you have a solid team like Duke who has 32 at the half and they give you a team total points line of O64.5, it is probably a good bet.
I’m not expert and I certainly lose plenty of bets, but there is some strategy that can help mitigate loses. Although you will always have days where you get your arse handed to you.
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