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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 4/16/24 at 12:59 pm to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
9883 posts
Posted on 4/16/24 at 12:59 pm to
Chinese analyst says that Russia will be defeated.

Thanks, LeClerc, looks like I quoted the link so now fixed.

LINK
This post was edited on 4/16/24 at 1:31 pm
Posted by LeClerc
USVI
Member since Oct 2012
2770 posts
Posted on 4/16/24 at 1:04 pm to
Fix your link CK.
Posted by ColtRange
Member since May 2023
548 posts
Posted on 4/16/24 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

In time it will be forced to withdraw from all occupied Ukrainian territories, including Crimea.


That is a quality satire piece, thanks for posting CitizenK.


Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8126 posts
Posted on 4/16/24 at 2:42 pm to
Wow, there are some really harsh criticisms in this article.

quote:

The war is a turning-point for Russia. It has consigned Mr Putin’s regime to broad international isolation. He has also had to deal with difficult domestic political undercurrents, from the rebellion by the mercenaries of the Wagner Group and other pockets of the military—for instance in Belgorod—to ethnic tensions in several Russian regions and the recent terrorist attack in Moscow. These show that political risk in Russia is very high. Mr Putin may recently have been re-elected, but he faces all kinds of possible black-swan events.

quote:

Adding to the risks confronting Mr Putin, the war has convinced more and more former Soviet republics that Russia’s imperial ambition threatens their independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity. Increasingly aware that a Russian victory is out of the question, these states are distancing themselves from Moscow in different ways, from forging economic-development policies that are less dependent on Russia to pursuing more balanced foreign policies. As a result, prospects for the Eurasian integration that Russia advocates have dimmed.


quote:

China’s relations with Russia are not fixed, and they have been affected by the events of the past two years. Russia’s foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, has just visited Beijing, where he and his Chinese counterpart once again emphasised the close ties between their countries. But the trip appears to have been more diplomatic effort by Russia to show it is not alone than genuine love-in. Shrewd observers note that China’s stance towards Russia has reverted from the “no limits” stance of early 2022, before the war, to the traditional principles of “non-alignment, non-confrontation and non-targeting of third parties”.


quote:

Since the war began China has conducted two rounds of diplomatic mediation. Success has proved elusive but no one should doubt China’s desire to end this cruel war through negotiations. That wish shows that China and Russia are very different countries. Russia is seeking to subvert the existing international and regional order by means of war, whereas China wants to resolve disputes peacefully.

You can't say things like that in China without some form of approval, not unless you want to end up in a re-education camp.
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