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re: I know of 5 different families that currently have Covid - most likely Omicron

Posted on 12/26/21 at 9:45 am to
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
13686 posts
Posted on 12/26/21 at 9:45 am to
quote:

Extrapolating from samples that ARE sent in AND lists of symptoms. Of course not every positive sample is sent for testing.


Not every sample? Boy is that ever not an exaggeration. Less than one percent of positives are being tested to confirm variant.

Extrapolating is a euphemism for just making stuff up based on non-existing data, which is what you are doing and then accusing others of doing that. Extrapolations are notoriously inaccurate and have to have very precise initial data for accuracy. The algorithms also have to continually change as more precise data is added. They are using subjective measures for their extrapolations in the case of Covid, which is not supported by the very few reliable extrapolation methods.
This post was edited on 12/26/21 at 11:16 am
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37751 posts
Posted on 12/26/21 at 9:46 am to
If the samples taken are of proper distribution and sampling, 1% would be sufficient for variant estimations.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
59525 posts
Posted on 12/26/21 at 9:47 am to
quote:

go ta hell ole miss


Stahp
Posted by Eli Goldfinger
Member since Sep 2016
32785 posts
Posted on 12/26/21 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Extrapolating is a euphemism for just making stuff up based on non-existing data, which is what you are doing and then accusing others of doing that.


People who are educated in AND work in statistics are NEVER right.
People on the OT board who hate covid are NEVER wrong.
-OT Zealots
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