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re: What do you think about Florida State to the SEC?

Posted on 8/18/11 at 11:19 am to
Posted by TigersOfGeauxld
Just across the water...
Member since Aug 2009
25057 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 11:19 am to
quote:

ETA: I've seen as high as $35MM/team for a new contract


I've heard even higher, in the $40 million/per team range.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
154713 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 11:33 am to
The amounts must be off.

2.25B was the reported to be the value of the ESPN contract over 15 years.

That's 12.5M per year for each school if Excel isn't broken.

So aTM is worth an additional 35M/year??? I don't think so.
Posted by TigersOfGeauxld
Just across the water...
Member since Aug 2009
25057 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 11:38 am to
quote:

So aTM is worth an additional 35M/year??? I don't think so.


I was going from the premise that 14 teams, plus the "look-ins" factored into the existing contract, would work in to renegotiating the tv contract to be worth more than what the Big Ten and Pac 12 now have gotten since the SEC contract was signed.
This post was edited on 8/18/11 at 11:41 am
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
154713 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 11:42 am to
If the current contract is worth 12.5M per year then how would adding aTM and FSU double that?

It just doesn't make any sense. However, I will deal with Nole drivel for that much cash.
Posted by tiger perry
Member since Dec 2009
25668 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 11:44 am to
I'm all for FSU joining the SEC as the 14th school. They are a football power. I don't want to get stuck w Mizzou or WVU.
Posted by TigersOfGeauxld
Just across the water...
Member since Aug 2009
25057 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 11:53 am to
quote:

If the current contract is worth 12.5M per year then how would adding aTM and FSU double that?

It just doesn't make any sense.


Forget about two new teams for a minute. There is a "look-in" already scheduled for reviewing the contract between the SEC, CBS, and ESPN, according to Slive.

Think the SEC isn't worth more than the Pac 12 or Big 10, based on winning five straight BCS titles?

Now add in two more schools, which makes the SEC the biggest of the big six conferences in football.

Then factor in the addition of the Texas tv market, which adds another 25 million people to the 50 million currently residing in SEC states.

Now add in whatever new footprint the 14th school brings, which is almost guaranteed at this point to be from a state outside the conference.

Yeah, that's worth a lot.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
154713 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 12:06 pm to
OK. I see what you are saying but that seems to be a huge increase. If we are talking footprints then FSU doesn't add much.

This is where my hesitancy comes in? Are we being paid by footprint or by tv sets. If tv sets, then how many additional games can possibly be shown. Does this mean FSU/UK replaces OM/LSU on TV or something similar. There's only so many hours a day a game can be shown.

We can always make UK, Vandy, OM, MSU and Arky play at 8:30am I guess.
Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9539 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

I find it hard to believe UF/UGA/USC/UK would vote against those new members if it was for the greater good of the SEC.


I don't. The harmony and cohesive unity among the schools in the SEC has served the league very well. Why mess with that? There are 2 or 3 other ACC programs not quite as great as FSU historically that are still solid and add new TV markets without pissing off certain current SEC schools. Virginia Tech being the most obvious one I'm talking about. NC State is also a reasonable target that fits the bill as well. You don't have to add a mega dominant program. You just need a solid program with a passionate fanbase that hopefully adds new markets.

Don't underestimate the current harmony in the league either. FSU immediately makes life tougher for all the traditional and current SEC powers and would dilute the talent further. As great as FSU is they may actually hurt the league some.
Posted by EWE TIGER
Houma
Member since Sep 2009
927 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

FSU immediately makes life tougher for all the traditional and current SEC powers and would dilute the talent further.


They would make it tougher, but it's not like they would come to the SEC and dominate. They would just be another good program. They are already diluting the talent. I think adding a team like Va Tech or NC St that isn't currently getting top 10 recruiting classes would dilute the talent more than Fla St.
Posted by TigersOfGeauxld
Just across the water...
Member since Aug 2009
25057 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 12:33 pm to
I think most people would agree that Virginia Tech would be the most attractive partner to bring in with TAMU as the 14th team.

The problem is the deadline for withdrawing from the ACC for the 2012 season was Monday.

And who knows if the SEC will go to 14 or 16? A lot is still up in the air.

I don't think that the university presidents/chancellors...who have the actual say in this conference after all...find the prospect of another set of meetings for yet another proposed future expansion in any way appealing.

The SEC might well decide that if there are four teams willing to make the jump to this conference by 2013, then striking now while the iron is hot would be best.

Posted by Starchild
Member since May 2010
13550 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 1:16 pm to
I'd be all in for FSU. Brings another quality program in multiple sports into the conference. Yea we already have UF, but if we're gonna add someone is gonna be upset. Florida has one of the best athletic programs in the country, they'll live.
If we're adding just 2, then I'd go A&M and either FSU or VT. If we're adding 4, then I think you have to go with those 3 plus one more from the west not named Mizzou.
Posted by EWE TIGER
Houma
Member since Sep 2009
927 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

If we're adding 4, then I think you have to go with those 3 plus one more from the west not named Mizzou.


I think Mizzou ultimately ends up in the big 10. Seems like a good fit for them. That is the main reason I don't want them. I think if we let them in now, and the big 10 came calling in a couple years, they would go.
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
20484 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

I think Mizzou ultimately ends up in the big 10. Seems like a good fit for them. That is the main reason I don't want them. I think if we let them in now, and the big 10 came calling in a couple years, they would go.


I have thought this myself. The SEC prides itself on stability (only three schools have left the SEC, and only one of those -- Georgia Tech -- has remained moderately competitive in D-1 athletics, with Sewanee now D-3 and Tulane barely hanging on to D-1). Mizzou has made it clear it wants to be in the Big 10+2; why take a risk on a school that really doesn't want to be here?
Posted by tiger perry
Member since Dec 2009
25668 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

I think most people would agree that Virginia Tech would be the most attractive partner to bring in with TAMU as the 14th team.


I would love to have Va Tech but they are too tied politically to UVA and the ACC imo.
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
20484 posts
Posted on 8/18/11 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

If we're adding just 2, then I'd go A&M and either FSU or VT.


Of the two I'd take VT since it does add new territory, plus the universities are so similar in their background (land-grant schools plus Senior Military Colleges) that they are perfect rivals.

quote:

If we're adding 4, then I think you have to go with those 3 plus one more from the west not named Mizzou.


For #15 I'd pick NC State. UNC and Duke will NEVER break up and Wake Forest is Baylor East. With those three schools so heavily invested in basketball, NC State could see a way to secure most of what football talent North Carolina has and differentiate itself from the other schools by offering SEC participation.

For #16 let me throw out this suggestion. How about Oklahoma State? Before everyone starts hear me out.

Okie State has the same problem that A&M has -- the perception of being the second-best program in a state where the best program is a perennial powerhouse. They are actually worse off since 1) the state (like North Carolina) isn't that deep in talent and 2) OU is way more of a powerhouse than Texas (eight national titles).

The Big 12 is the only thing that has allowed Okie State to become a moderately-successful program since it gets to tap into the Texas recruiting fields. If Okie State and OU end up in, say, the PAC-16, it's the Big 8 all over again -- OU gets the cream of the crop from Oklahoma plus what it can poach from Texas courtesy of the Red River Rivalry, while OSU gets stuck with what's left.

But if Okie State were to go to the SEC, then just like A&M it can differentiate itself from its perennial big brother, plus it keeps its Texas pipeline open. It won't get as many top recruits as A&M but it won't end up like Arkansas in the early days of its SEC membership (when it had NO tie-in to Texas recruits, either by conference rivalry or established OOC), as it would be in a Western pod with A&M, Arkansas, and LSU.
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