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re: LSU 82nd in turnovers for loss.

Posted by no1g8r on 10/8/09 at 1:36 pm to
Apparently he does mean "tackles for loss", as that is the stat that LSU is 82nd in on defense.

re: .

Posted by no1g8r on 10/8/09 at 12:46 pm to
Gators: 30 or more
Tigers: 17 or less

re: Phil Steele's pick

Posted by no1g8r on 10/8/09 at 11:32 am to
Why do these so-called experts always do a "trend analysis" rather than a "matchup analysis", when matchups are what matters the most, not trends.

Neither Florida's 5-0 record, nor LSU's 5-0 record, is going to help them this week. Last year's wins and losses won't help them this week. LSU's string of consecutive Saturday night wins won't help them this Saturday.

Matchups matter. O vs. D, ST's vs. ST's, playcalling, and individual position play will make a difference in this game. Not previous records and trends. I think it's just lazy "sports analysts" who look at the trends as the deciding factor.

</rant off>

re: Knocking Tebow Out?

Posted by no1g8r on 10/8/09 at 10:43 am to
Somewhere over the course of reading medical papers on concussions this past two weeks, I remember reading a statistic that surprised me: That a QB was twice as likely to have a concussion over the course of their careers than a running back.

I figured that this is for a couple of reasons:

1) If a running back is going to be hit high, they will likely see it coming. It's not too often that someone catches up with a running back from behind, or even a blind side, and doesn't try to wrap them up low to make the tackle

2) A QB is more likely to sustain a hit that they didn't see coming, and are more likely to receive a high hit because defenders are often trying to put a helmet into the QB's chest, rather than trying to wrap them up. High hits are more likely to result in an uncontrolled fall that puts the helmet forcibly on the turf.

This is a long way of saying that the greatest danger to Tebow may not be from his running with the ball, but with him throwing the ball. If that is the case, and he does play, perhaps the worst thing that Meyer could do would be to try to keep him back in the pocket and not having him try to run with the ball.

re: Keys to winning.

Posted by no1g8r on 10/7/09 at 8:06 am to
quote:

Stop the little dump passes to rainey and demps

Pound the rock.


That's a good start. How do you propose LSU accomplish these things?
Because the only LSU sacks this year have come from Defensive Linemen, and no one ever remembers their names until they hear them.

(Alem, Nevis, & Edwards have one each, I believe). :usa:

re: Tebow at practice in full pads

Posted by no1g8r on 10/6/09 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

Tebow at practice in full pads
he was at practice but didn't participate.



Where did you get that? Reports are that he practiced with the first team receivers and running backs and is full go in full speed drills.

LINK

re: IT DOESN"T MATTER ABOUT TEBOW...

Posted by no1g8r on 10/5/09 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

we just got to go out there and do our thing


That "thing" that LSU has been doing so far, or that "thing" that LSU fans WISH LSU had been doing so far?

That "thing" that LSU has been doing so far will get the Tigers beaten on Saturday, at home, on national prime time television.

re: IT DOESN"T MATTER ABOUT TEBOW...

Posted by no1g8r on 10/5/09 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Florida has not seen a tough offense yet this season, not saying LSU is the best, but who has Floridas D been challenged by to make that assumption?


Maybe bullet points will help you to comprehend:

* Florida returns its ENTIRE 2-deep chart on defense. Every one of them.

* Florida defense was best in the country last year.

* Conventional wisdom - players improve as they have more time in the system, both individually and as a team

* Florida's defense is still in the top 2 in the country this year. The competition hasn't been as strong yet, but there's no indication of a dropoff since last year

You ask what Offense that the Gators D has played to make "that assumption"? What have you seen from the Gators that gives you reason to believe that the same entire defense from last year aren't as good or better than they were last year?
Well, I can't speak for total plays over 20 yards, but LSU has given up 20 passing plays of 15+ yards, and 4 rushing plays of 20+ yards.

Georgia has given up 33 passing plays of 15+ yards, and 1 rushing play for 20+ yards.

Georgia has played 7 games. Florida and LSU have played 6.

Florida has given up 21 passing plays of 15+ yards, and 3 rushing plays of 20+ yards.

You can look all of this up yourself at cfbstats.com
No, 14 is the total number of 1st downs LSU has given up on 3rd down plays.

LSU has given up 9 first downs on 3rd and 7+ yards, all on passing plays. Opponents have been in a 3rd & 7+ yard position 29 times (23 passing attempts, 6 rushing attempts).

That's a 31% success rate against LSU on 3rd and 7+ yards.

I'm no dawg fan, but since they are your next opponent, I looked them up as well. They've given up 9 1st downs on 44 attempts where the situation was 3rd & 7+ yards. That's a 19% success rate.

By comparison, Florida (my team) has given up 4 out of 31 attempts, a 13% success rate for their opponents in this situation. I wish that I could say this is all because of Florida's defense, but UF's opponents have dropped an amazing number of 3rd and long passes when no defender was close to them.


CBS gets first shot at it, then ESPN, then RayCom sports.

If you see an SEC team on ABC, it's because the home team is a non-SEC team that has a contract with ABC. Generally speaking, for non-conference games the first shot at picking up the games is in accordance with the contract of the conference that the home team is in.

So, to answer your question, ABC will NOT be picking up the LSU-Alabama game.
quote:

Contrary to most people's belief, vegas's goal isn't always to split the money 50/50


And you arrive at this conclusion how?