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Registered on:9/30/2024
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re: If Ole Miss Knew..

Posted by crickey on 11/30/25 at 7:38 pm to
Perhaps they elevated Golding as the only way possible to retain staff and salvage what they can of this season & next.

If a new sheriff's coming in town, there is no guarantee that existing staff keeps their jobs. Much greater incentive to follow Kiffin.

If they are keeping the staff somewhat intact and elevating "one of their own," while doubling salaries (presumably with the savings of Golding instead of a bidding war for an established HC) ... they get what you saw happen -- most stick around.

Short term - great strategy
Long term - Ehh, TBD

re: Ole Miss is wrecked.

Posted by crickey on 11/30/25 at 12:45 pm to
wrote a song about it, wanna hear it, here it goes

[Verse 1]
From the Grove to the Bayou the whispers grew loud
He wore the crown but he left the crowd
Eleven and one like a fairytale glow
Then the devil called Baton Rouge
Said it's time to go

[Prechorus]
Dreams in red and blue now scatter and fade
A dynasty’s death in the choices we made

[Chorus]
Oh the grass ain't greener
It's purple and gold
You thought you'd keep him but the truth's been sold
From the highest of highs to a hard
Bitter fall
In the game of chairs
No seat left at all

[Verse 2]
Players jump ship like leaves in the breeze
Recruiters picking bones like vultures on knees
Your dreams of a title
They’re gone with the rain
And all that’s left is this lingering pain

[Prechorus]
But here in the swamp
We wear the black hat
The villain’s crown fits
Ain't no shame in that

[Chorus]
Oh the grass ain't greener
It's purple and gold
You thought you'd keep him but the truth's been sold
From the highest of highs to a hard
Bitter fall
In the game of chairs
No seat left at all

re: A Gulfstream G6 Just Landed at BTR

Posted by crickey on 11/18/25 at 10:29 am to
Looks like it could be:

(nevermind, Grok was hallucinating)

re: A Gulfstream G6 Just Landed at BTR

Posted by crickey on 11/18/25 at 10:19 am to
Disclaimer, I have no idea what I am doing, but Grok told me I could check this history of this mystery plane using its hex code* from adsbexchange, so here is what I have found.

It seems to be based in Charleston, maybe with a farm/camp/business in Vidalia, GA area. Just a guess.

10/28 - Boston to Charleston
11/02 - Charleston to Baltimore
11/03 - Baltimore to Raleigh to Charleston to Vidalia (GA) to Charleston
11/05 - Charleston to Vidalia to Charleston
11/07 - Charleston to Nashville
11/09 - Nashville to Vidalia to Nashville
11/10 - Nashville to Asheville to Charleston
11/15 - Charleson to Ft Lauderdale
11/18 - Ft Lauderdale to Baton Rouge


* funny to use Musk's AI to learn how to track planes that don't want to be tracked.
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A local on X says confirmed not the Train.

quote:

This is still a small town in many respects.

re: Lane is a troll

Posted by crickey on 11/17/25 at 6:50 pm to


But Maybe - Just Maybe - He's our troll?

re: Jacques Doucet Just Posted This on X

Posted by crickey on 10/28/25 at 2:37 pm to
Jacques Doucet just deleted it from his Facebook page while I was in the midst of trying to read all of the comments
Kingston not going to be flooded from storm surge? Seems like that Bay would trap a lot of water getting pushed in.

Replacing Woodward with AI

Posted by crickey on 10/27/25 at 12:19 pm
quote:

Who would be the best hire for LSU's new football coach, looking at an up-and-coming coach under 55 years old with a proven winning track record in the unlikeliest of places


If Anthropic's Claude were our athletic director:

Looking at coaches who fit your criteria - under 55, proven winners in unlikely places - here are some compelling candidates for LSU:

Jamey Chadwell (47 years old) - Currently at Liberty, previously transformed Coastal Carolina from FCS afterthought to stunning success. His "option-based spread" offense is innovative and has produced wins everywhere. Took Coastal from 3-9 to 11-1 with a win over BYU in just three years. At Liberty, he's continued that success. He's proven he can build programs from scratch.

Willie Fritz (64) - Actually just over your age range, but worth noting briefly - turned around programs at Sam Houston State, Georgia Southern, and Tulane. Skip if age is firm.

Dan Lanning (38) - Oregon's head coach is young but has already shown he can win at a high level. While Oregon isn't an "unlikely place," his rapid rise and defensive prowess (Georgia DC under Kirby Smart) shows elite trajectory. Might be hard to pry from Oregon though.

Jon Sumrall (42) - Currently at Tulane (previously Troy), has quickly become one of the hottest names in coaching. Took Troy from 5-7 to 12-2 in two years. His teams are disciplined, tough, and well-coached. Kentucky native who's proven he can build culture fast.

Rhett Lashlee (41) - SMU's head coach has the Mustangs rolling. Offensive innovator who learned under Gus Malzahn and has coordinated at Auburn and Miami. Took SMU from 7-6 to 11-3 and now competing for playoff spots. Dallas isn't exactly "unlikely," but SMU was dormant for decades.

Chris Klieman (57) - Just over your threshold but worth considering - won multiple FCS titles at North Dakota State, then proved it translates at Kansas State, winning in the tough Big 12.

Of these, Jamey Chadwell might be your best fit - he's won everywhere deemed "impossible," runs an exciting offensive system that would play well in the SEC, and is at the perfect career stage to make the jump. Jon Sumrall would be my second choice - younger, Southern roots, and building a reputation as a program transformer.

The key question would be whether any of these coaches can recruit at the SEC level, but their track records suggest they can identify and develop talent others overlook.

Now throwing the same question to Grok in Expert mode:

1. Jon Sumrall - 43 - Tulane (AAC) 38-10 (.792)
Sumrall has dominated at G5 levels, going 23-4 at Troy (Sun Belt) with back-to-back titles before a 15-6 start at Tulane, including a potential AAC crown and CFP spot this year. These are resource-strapped programs in talent-rich Louisiana, yet he's built elite defenses (top-10 nationally in rushing D). As a Kentucky alum with SEC assistant experience (Ole Miss, Kentucky), he's a seamless fit for LSU's recruiting battles—no adjustment needed for the region.

2. Rhett Lashlee - 42 - SMU (ACC) 34-15 (.694)
Lashlee revived SMU from AAC irrelevance to a Power conference contender, guiding them through the transition with a 2024 CFP appearance. His high-powered offenses (Gus Malzahn tree) average 40+ PPG, and he's succeeded at a private school with fewer resources than public powerhouses. SEC roots (Auburn OC) make him ideal for LSU's explosive style, plus strong Texas/Louisiana recruiting ties.

3. Kenny Dillingham - 35 - Arizona State (Big 12) 19-7 (.731)
The youngest FBS head coach, Dillingham inherited a sanctioned, rebuilding ASU and led them to an 11-3 record and playoffs in Year 2. Turning around a program picked last in its conference exemplifies "unlikely" success. His offensive background (Oregon, FSU) and energy would energize LSU's roster, with proven portal mastery for quick fixes.

4. Clark Lea - 44 - Vanderbilt (SEC) 29-34 (.460)
Lea has orchestrated the ultimate underdog story at Vanderbilt, the SEC's historical doormat, pushing them to 7-1 and CFP contention in 2025 with savvy transfers (e.g., QB Diego Pavia). His defensive expertise (Notre Dame DC) and player development shine in a talent-poor environment. Already in the SEC, he'd bring stability and upset potential to LSU without a learning curve.

5. Alex Golesh - 41 - USF (AAC) 20-14 (.588)
Golesh inherited a USF team at rock bottom (4-29 prior) and flipped it to 7-6 in Year 1, with continued growth into 2025. Success at a Florida G5 program with urban recruiting challenges highlights his resilience. His Tennessee OC roots (explosive offenses) align with LSU's history, and he'd excel in the state's talent wars.
quote:

... or you could sit on your arse for 8yrs, hope for the best, and now be saddled with 145% tariffs.

In business there are few more valuable tools than an in depth SWOT analysis. Following the 1st Trump Admin, Covid, then continuation of China tariffs under Biden, businesses without supply chain alternatives are studies in operational Darwinism


I wouldn't have argued that any of those events made our current situation a realistic possibility. I guess all the MBAs at Walmart and Target need to go back to school, too.

There are entire categories of goods that simply aren't currently manufactured anywhere else. If you exclusively import umbrellas or basketballs, sure, maybe you can go setup a factory somewhere.

If you have a catalog that represents hundreds to thousands of factories over many thousands of SKUs, made from every material and process out there, what are your options? You move what you can. You're left with a gaping hole in your product offering the size of China.
quote:

China has slowly ripped off American technology and manufacturing. Your suggestion is that we slowly replace them. Not a bad take, however, I think you've missed where we have tried that approach. It hasn't worked.



When did we try this approach?

My suggestion was not exactly slow in historical terms. 24% after 12 months! 48% after 2 years, 88 in 4. These are substantial tariff hikes that give the market the ability to plan and react without flipping the table.


quote:

A lot of people complaining that this will hurt their small business.


It's not a concern about any one business. It's the real possibility that this policy, if left in place, will set off a chain reaction that destroys our economy as a whole.

quote:

China has slowly ripped off American technology and manufacturing.



Sadly, many of the products that need to be re-homed the most in the interest of national security are currently exempt from the 145% tariffs. (technology)

quote:

They've had nearly 8 years


8 years to do what? Build a factory in the USA under the Biden administration?

Try to make plans based on the ever-changing announcements from Trump?

If I were building a factory outside of the USA to move production from China, I would have had to move it three times already since February. Mexico-oops, no. Let's go elsewhere in Asia. OK, scratch that. Oh wait, back to Mexico. For now, fingers crossed!
quote:

Wait...what? It's April.


Well, it's kinda May.

And boats across the ocean take some time. 2-4 weeks to the west coast. 6 weeks to the Gulf. 6-8 weeks to the East Coast.

That's not including delays for booking, loading, trans-loading etc.

Think about when you'll start seeing people complain on the OT about Halloween or Christmas appearing at Home Depot. It will be here in no time.
quote:

Comes on here and acts like he understands the overall situation when no one does.

Laughable.



Care to share your assessment of the situation and why this plan wouldn't be an improvement?
quote:

And why not chose to back American people instead of Chinese companies & its government? Can up not get by for a term without needing Chinese goods ?


Not without a lot of pain. You know all of the businesses that sell those goods that are left without any alternatives right now, they employ a lot of people. They occupy a lot of real estate.

It is a national security issue. We do need to re-home production of crucial goods.

But the way this is happening is going to put us in a major recession if not a depression. Until that becomes clear, and Trump reverses course. Which will leave us right back where we started.
quote:

So let's just let all our manufacturing go to other countries and let's just let our goods be tariffs going out of the USA.

This has to be done to bring back USA manufacturing jobs. We can't really on the Asian world to supply the USA with pharmacy and steel. When they get upset with us they just cut the USA off.

It's about National Security


Did you notice the part where I suggested an 88% tariff on Chinese goods?
quote:

This right here makes you a moron. Get all the damn leeches off welfare and they can work. Half our able bodied population does nothing


OK, but you've got to get them off of Welfare first.... the tariffs are happening right now.

Grok estimates 13 million unemployed able to work in USA:
quote:

Summing those able to work, approximately 12.7 million Americans (7.1 million unemployed + 5.6 million not in the labor force but wanting a job, excluding discouraged workers for overlap) could potentially work but are not employed.


Grok also estimates ~120 million manufacturing production workers in China. If the USA represents 20% of their exports (which I believe is falsely low, due to goods being trans-shipped to other Asian counties to avoid tariffs), and we work equally efficiently and without automation... we need 20m people to fill these jobs. We don't have it.
quote:

The business people that saw DJT was surely getting elected, and listened to him say he was bringing the tariffs, had 6-8 months to order extra stock.

Some chose not to.


And after that extra supply runs out? How long does it take to spin up a factory? Did they buy 2 years worth of inventory?

He never discussed anything higher than a 60% tariff on China, or maybe 60% + 10%. 145% changes this from "what do I need to do to offset that increase while we build elsewhere" to "I guess it's time to close up shop."

There are a million specialized retailers in this Country, all dealing with unique situations. Some products are seasonal and only manufactured at certain times of year. Some products have expiration dates and cannot be stockpiled. Some follow trends that change and you wouldn't want last year's hot items in your warehouse.

Most businesses do not typically have the financial or physical resources to import multiples of their typical volume.

The current tariff rates on China are soon to absolutely devastate untold numbers of small & medium businesses in the US.

quote:

These tariffs have placed an immediate and significant burden on Main Street retailers, which represent a vital share of the 4.6 million retail businesses in the U.S., not to mention the companies that supply them with goods. With the holiday season fast approaching, which represents nearly $994 billion in retail sales, the impact is growing more severe by the day. If goods are not in transit within the next few weeks, economic consequences will be dire for the 55 million American jobs supported by retail.



Significant harm is already done, even if the tariffs are dropped tomorrow. Supply chains have zero room for weeks without shipments. Freight prices for smaller shippers will skyrocket if the tariffs are paused / significantly reduced. Larger shippers will be impacted to a lesser degree due to contracted container rates. For bulky goods, the impact of drastic freight increases can near the impact of current tariffs.

Businesses were given no time to react, and small businesses lack the resources to make the changes required. They can't just spin up a factory somewhere else overnight, and where? If the USA is the target, we need automation because we don't have the workforce. Small businesses cannot afford hundred-million dollar robotic production lines... big business will eat them alive.

If you want to incentivize businesses to move production out of China, set a course and stick with it.

Target: 88% tariffs on China. That's plenty to kill most production there.
Timeline: Do it over 44 months.

Start with 2% tomorrow and raise it 2% on the 1st of every month until the end of Trump's term.

Doing it over time gives businesses a chance to adapt and prevents sudden shocks to the supply chain that happen with all-or-none deadlines. By the time Trump is out of office, most of the production will have moved.
5. Congress or the Judicial branch steps in and blocks all of these National Security tariffs after large numbers of their constituents begin closing shop.