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Taylor62085
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| Number of Posts: | 53 |
| Registered on: | 11/29/2015 |
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Forum
Message
re: Vince Kehres - Toledo DC (Intriguing Name to watch for LSU DC Opening)
Posted by Taylor62085 on 12/5/25 at 11:59 am to Fun Bunch
ESPN FPI Defense rating of 51.2 during his 6 years as Toledo DC. The six years prior to his arriving is a 51.5. Seems to be living heavily off of this year which is obviously his best. We can and should do better.
re: Kiffin - DC Ties
Posted by Taylor62085 on 12/2/25 at 11:26 am to bwallcubfan
I didn't list O or Chris Kiffin. Hopefully position coach is the ceiling there.
Kiffin - DC Ties
Posted by Taylor62085 on 12/2/25 at 11:22 am
I tried to look through Kiffin's previous staffs to see DC candidates with ties if Baker leaves. The list isn't as long as I thought but still somewhat interesting.
Don Martindale - Michigan DC ('07 Oakland LB)
Tosh Lupoi - Oregon DC ('16 Alabama OLB)
DJ Durkin - Auburn Interim HC ('20-'21 Ole Miss Co-DC)
Bryan Brown - Ole Miss Co-DC ('24-'25 Ole Miss Co-DC)
Lupoi and Durkin are the standouts. I wonder if Aranda could be an option if he gets canned. Shiel Wood would be an exciting outside candidate.
Above all, I hope Tulane screws it up.
Don Martindale - Michigan DC ('07 Oakland LB)
Tosh Lupoi - Oregon DC ('16 Alabama OLB)
DJ Durkin - Auburn Interim HC ('20-'21 Ole Miss Co-DC)
Bryan Brown - Ole Miss Co-DC ('24-'25 Ole Miss Co-DC)
Lupoi and Durkin are the standouts. I wonder if Aranda could be an option if he gets canned. Shiel Wood would be an exciting outside candidate.
Above all, I hope Tulane screws it up.
re: Blake Baker as a backup
Posted by Taylor62085 on 11/18/25 at 7:34 pm to S
I’m a Baker fan (maybe not as HC) but any chance at all of him getting the gig died when Frank was announced as interim.
re: Dillingham's salary and buyout
Posted by Taylor62085 on 11/8/25 at 4:25 am to The Pirate King
20-15 HC record. Maybe if we get 25 No’s first.
Coach Ratings
Posted by Taylor62085 on 10/27/25 at 1:36 pm
One way I like to look at coach performance is looking at the team ESPN FPI the team had before they got there & during their tenure. If a coach is with a team for 4 years then I take the average of those 4 seasons & look at how good the team was 4 years prior. There are obviously other factors when hiring a coach but I think this is a large piece of it. Below are some of the most interesting results.
Jon Sumrall 5.2 (22-23Troy/24-25Tulane) -0.5 (20-21Troy/22-23Tulane)
Lane Kiffin 11.4 9.1
Eli Drinkwitz 8.2 8.1
Brent Key 4.6 -3.1
Marcus Freeman 20.6 19.1
Rhett Lashlee 9.5 0.6
Matt Campbell 7.4 -4.6
Kenny Dillingham 3.8 5.4
Joey McGuire 9.6 3.9
Shane Beamer 6.7 4.1
PJ Fleck 3.9 -0.5
Jon Sumrall 5.2 (22-23Troy/24-25Tulane) -0.5 (20-21Troy/22-23Tulane)
Lane Kiffin 11.4 9.1
Eli Drinkwitz 8.2 8.1
Brent Key 4.6 -3.1
Marcus Freeman 20.6 19.1
Rhett Lashlee 9.5 0.6
Matt Campbell 7.4 -4.6
Kenny Dillingham 3.8 5.4
Joey McGuire 9.6 3.9
Shane Beamer 6.7 4.1
PJ Fleck 3.9 -0.5
Potential OC Shortlist
Posted by Taylor62085 on 11/6/18 at 10:32 am
Looked at the ESPN FPI Offense rating compared to what it was prior to their tenure. The rating is a combination of the average rating & the trend. For comparison, Aranda is 77.1 & Ensminger is 64.2 if using '16 & '18.
Matt Lubick - Washington (Co-OC) - Rating#74 - Has O ties back to Ole Miss. Co-OC makes it difficult to determine how much success he is responsible for as well as having Peterson as a HC.
Mike Yurcich - Oklahoma St. OC - 70.2 - Same issue as Lubick. Is he just riding the mullets coattails?
Hugh Freeze - former Ole Miss HC - 70.1 - Compliance/SEC/NCAA is the issue
Phil Longo - Ole Miss OC - 69.5 -
Lane Kiffin - FAU HC - 69.3 - Not sure he is interested
Billy Napier - ULL HC - 68.9 - Only one season in as HC so unlikely to move.
Jim Chaney - Georgia OC - 68.8 - Has O ties but is in a good situation & is older. Money would have to be big.
Eliah Drinkwitz - NC State OC - 68.3 - Young guy that looks to be up & coming. Doesn't seem like a move O would make though without ties.
Matt Lubick - Washington (Co-OC) - Rating#74 - Has O ties back to Ole Miss. Co-OC makes it difficult to determine how much success he is responsible for as well as having Peterson as a HC.
Mike Yurcich - Oklahoma St. OC - 70.2 - Same issue as Lubick. Is he just riding the mullets coattails?
Hugh Freeze - former Ole Miss HC - 70.1 - Compliance/SEC/NCAA is the issue
Phil Longo - Ole Miss OC - 69.5 -
Lane Kiffin - FAU HC - 69.3 - Not sure he is interested
Billy Napier - ULL HC - 68.9 - Only one season in as HC so unlikely to move.
Jim Chaney - Georgia OC - 68.8 - Has O ties but is in a good situation & is older. Money would have to be big.
Eliah Drinkwitz - NC State OC - 68.3 - Young guy that looks to be up & coming. Doesn't seem like a move O would make though without ties.
re: The Beginning of the End?
Posted by Taylor62085 on 11/5/18 at 11:19 am to The Egg
This game was when it started to feel like we were getting neutered by Bama each year.
New OC & O Staff Prerequisite
Posted by Taylor62085 on 11/5/18 at 11:01 am
Assuming SE retires or is demoted for next season, our options seem to be limited to guys O has been on staff with in the past. Most popular of those is Kiffin/Freeze obviously. If neither of those are possible then what about Matt Lubick? No idea if they have a good or bad relationship since that was in O's Ole Miss days but he seems to be the most impressive after Kiffin/Freeze. Below are the rest of the notables I saw.
Clay Helton (assuming he is let go)
Tee Martin
Noel Mazzone
John Morton
Dan Werner
Frank Wilson
Curtis Johnson
Clay Helton (assuming he is let go)
Tee Martin
Noel Mazzone
John Morton
Dan Werner
Frank Wilson
Curtis Johnson
re: Ensminger v. Canada
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/18/18 at 2:33 pm to Tigerbait357
How many deep balls did we miss this year? Especially at the beginning of the year. Seemed like it was dialed up at the right time but something would always go wrong.
SE Offense
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/12/18 at 4:06 pm
Watch the LSU/Louisville game. I think SE's offense will look a lot like that unless LN beats out Brennan. Hodgepodge offense as I like to call it. Having an I-back in for most of a series then running an 11 package the next series. Plus, the defense was lit that game.
LINK
LINK
re: So if Brian Daboll gets hired into the NFL again, who do you think Saban gets on the phone
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/11/18 at 3:22 pm to LSU316
Canada seems like the last person Saban would want to hire. Canada would want to put in his own system & Saban wouldn't be having that. He changed his philosophy to a one back power spread out of necessity. I wouldn't expect anymore bold changes in the near future.
re: So if Brian Daboll gets hired into the NFL again, who do you think Saban gets on the phone
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/11/18 at 3:13 pm to TenthTiger
Watch it be Shula
5 Stages of LSU Grief
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/11/18 at 10:05 am
Denial - If they were going to hire Ensminger they would have done it already. They are just kicking the tires on people & waiting for coaches still in CFP/NFL playoffs.
Anger - Ensminger is too old, hasn't been a true OC in 20 years, & O promised the best coaching staff in America.
Bargaining - Maybe they are putting SE's name out there to buy some time to talk to other guys. Maybe SE will be Co-OC with a younger up & coming name.
Depression - We will go 7-5 & won't score any points on top flight defenses. Selling my season tickets.
Acceptance - We did improve some when SE took over the playcalling duties. Maybe we will be bad enough for O to be fired. Aranda '19.
Anger - Ensminger is too old, hasn't been a true OC in 20 years, & O promised the best coaching staff in America.
Bargaining - Maybe they are putting SE's name out there to buy some time to talk to other guys. Maybe SE will be Co-OC with a younger up & coming name.
Depression - We will go 7-5 & won't score any points on top flight defenses. Selling my season tickets.
Acceptance - We did improve some when SE took over the playcalling duties. Maybe we will be bad enough for O to be fired. Aranda '19.
re: Aranda as LSU Head Coach now.
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/9/18 at 12:00 pm to martiallaw
$8.5M (O buyout). I am right there with you. Ready for the Aranda era.
re: Carolina Panthers fired OC and QB coach; About to lose DC
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/9/18 at 11:16 am to Chad504boy
I'd sign up for Shula at this point. Pretty average NFL OC.
re: Ensminger will be a success
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/8/18 at 8:46 pm to warau
SE will run an offense that doesn’t put the D in bad positions. Aranda is excited for that reason. If they brought in some up tempo guy it naturally causes more point/yards allowed. Doesn’t mean it is a good hire.
re: Live look in Football Ops Building
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/8/18 at 8:41 pm to WaWaWeeWa
This was great. Have an upvote.
re: Fire Miles. Replace him with his DL coach. Make his TE coach OC.
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/8/18 at 8:18 pm to Springlake Tiger
Not only that. We paid a guy $3.2M total to run the offense for one year and go away.
Gilbert FPI Offense Ratings (Before & After)
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/7/18 at 6:54 am
Below are the FPI Offense Ratings for all of Gilbert’s offenses compared to how they performed the year before he got there. The rating is 0-100.
USF ‘17 - 58.4
USF ‘16 - 78
Texas ‘16 - 48.4
Texas ‘15 - 41.6
Tulsa ‘15 - 54.1
Tulsa ‘14 - 37.7
Bowling Green ‘14 - 32.2
Bowling Green ‘13 - 63.4
Average Gilbert Offense - 48.3
Average Prior to his arrival - 55.2
USF ‘17 - 58.4
USF ‘16 - 78
Texas ‘16 - 48.4
Texas ‘15 - 41.6
Tulsa ‘15 - 54.1
Tulsa ‘14 - 37.7
Bowling Green ‘14 - 32.2
Bowling Green ‘13 - 63.4
Average Gilbert Offense - 48.3
Average Prior to his arrival - 55.2
Chaney/Orgeron @ Tennessee
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/6/18 at 11:09 am
I just realized Chaney is who Tennessee hired when Orgeron was Asst HC there. I doubt he leaves Georgia for another OC position after the season they are having but thought that was interesting. Wouldn’t be my 1st choice anyway but can think of worse.
re: No word that Sonny Cumbie is a target. Jake Spavital on the list
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/5/18 at 11:00 am to WaWaWeeWa
Cumbie looks better & better. TCU took huge strides when he came on as Co-OC & got even better this year when Meacham left & it was his show. He is tier 1, Sark is tier 2, Yurcich is tier 3, and Spavital/Gilbert/Ensminger is tier 72
re: Mike D “Next years OC is NOT on staff right now.”
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/5/18 at 10:29 am to PUB
IMO Cumbie would be best case scenario for spread & Sark for pro-style. Yurcich would be a slight improvement over Canada. Spavital, Gilbert, Ensminger are all steps in the wrong direction.
re: Briles without Art (16 vs 15)
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/5/18 at 1:56 am to WONTONGO
LSU actually averaged over half a yard more per play than Baylor last year. They just had one of the highest tempo offenses and we were one of the slowest.
re: Briles without Art (16 vs 15)
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/5/18 at 1:34 am to LSU fan 246
Not much. Limited as I said. Bowl game and videos here and there recently. Just a regular guy here but he seems like he is just as likely to bust as he is to be a homerun.
re: Briles without Art (16 vs 15)
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/5/18 at 1:26 am to GeauxTigerNation
FAU looks more like Lane Kiffin Bama offense than pre-scandal Baylor in the limited tape I’ve seen.
Briles without Art (16 vs 15)
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/5/18 at 1:22 am
Does it concern anyone that Baylor dropped 13.5 ppg after the scandal without Art? Kendal was OC for 16 without Art & 15 with Art. I honestly don’t know how much of an exodus there was but know the QB was the same for both seasons. Seems pretty relevant since it is his sole season being the main play caller. Not an ideal situation obviously though.
re: Kendal Briles film room
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/4/18 at 9:21 pm to Terry the Tiger
I see an Art Briles offense and a Lane Kiffin offense in those videos. That is my main on the field worry is you don’t really know what you are getting since he hasn’t been the #1 offensive mind anywhere. If he hits it is a homerun though.
re: Why is everyone so sold on Briles?
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/4/18 at 3:29 pm to PacLSU
This what I am thinking as well. Could work out as I think it would be a high ceiling/low floor move but add in the PR standpoint and I don't see them going this route.
re: Miles buyout tied to Orgeron buyout or Aranda raise?
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/3/18 at 4:03 pm to GoldenBoy
The team doesn't matter. All I mean is if & how quickly they strike a deal would have huge financial implications on LSU's current status as it could free up millions of dollars. A buyout for Orgeron or raise for Aranda could happen without Les' buyout coming off the books but I think it would affect the LSU penny pinchers at the top a great deal.
Miles buyout tied to Orgeron buyout or Aranda raise?
Posted by Taylor62085 on 1/3/18 at 3:52 pm
The timing of the Miles/Arizona interest seems peculiar & could give way to an Orgeron buyout or Aranda raise given the timing. Isn't Miles due $7.5M left on his buyout which would be decreased by his new salary if hired? That money could go to an Orgeron buyout ($8.5M?)/Aranda promotion (if interested) to HC OR an Aranda raise at DC.
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