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Apologies if this is a duplicate thread. I did a search for Japan and didn't see anything in this vein.

So I was watching Contagion, and Tokyo flashed on the screen showing a population of 35 million plus. It got me to wondering how Japan was doing with this pandemic, as I haven't heard much in the news about it.

Fact check, from Wikipedia, "As of 2019, the population of Tokyo was estimated to be over 13.9 million, making it Japan's most populous prefecture. The metropolitan area is the world's most populous with over 38 million people as well as the world's largest urban agglomeration economy."

WSJ article "Japan's coronavirus cases fall sharply without compulsory measures"

The article might be behind a paywall.

Japan's stats: "Japan has reported 13,385 infections and 351 deaths, a death toll lower than in many U.S. states."

A caveat to that data in that Japan's testing rate has been low.

Japan's mitigation measures:

"Unlike many Western countries, Japan hasn’t imposed a lockdown backed with fines or other penalties. Instead, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has asked people to reduce their contact with others by 80% and encouraged businesses to reduce hours of operation or close. Restaurants may open but are asked to close by 8 p.m."

Japan has a land area of under 146,000 square miles, with a population of just over 125 million.

Tokyo population density is 6,158 persons per square kilometer.

New York population density is higher, 10,194/km².

Some food for thought.

BITCHUTE VIDEO OF SHAKIRA'S 2001 SNL PERFORMANCE OF WHENEVER, WHEREVER

Taleb's take: the individual who doesn't look the part is often more competent, having had to overcome bias due to their inappropriate image in the process of obtaining their station in life.

Surgeons should not look like surgeons

McNugget Problem UGA.edu

Similar problem, but for McNuggets.

From site:
"For any desired number if it is divisible by 3 it can
easily be made with 6 and 9 packs, except if the
number is 3 itself. If you can't use all six packs then
use one 9 pack and you can do the rest with six packs.

If the number is not divisible by 3 then use one 20
pack. If the remaining number is divisible by 3 then
use the above method for the rest.

If the number still isn't divisible by 3 use a second 20
pack. The remainder must be divisible by 3, in which
case use the 6 and 9 packs as above.

The largest impossible number would be such that
you would have to subtract 20 twice to get a
remainder divisible by 3. However, you can't make 3
itself with 6 and 9 packs. So the largest impossible
number is 2*20+3=43."

Edit. Used wrong value for first sock pick (1/22 should have been 2/22)

1. 2/22 * 1/22 = 2/ 462 = 1/231 (odds of drawing a sock from full drawer, odds of drawing that sock's mate after one sock has been picked)

2. 1/231*11 = 1/21. (sum the probabilities for all 11 pairs; probability is the same because there are equal numbers, 2, of each type of sock)

My Tutor Probability Sock Drawer Style