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Posted on 11/17/21 at 6:14 pm to Darth_Vader
quote:
War crime? The Three Gorges dam is a legit military target, especially if China is the aggressor.
And it’s only 790 miles away from Taiwan. China would be fricked once that dam goes, imagine the resources it would take when that thing crumbles.
This post was edited on 11/17/21 at 6:18 pm
Posted on 11/17/21 at 6:19 pm to bdavids09
Posted on 11/17/21 at 6:28 pm to bdavids09
That’s a good question. I would guess that American business interests, which really drive most of American policy, foreign and domestic, would be opposed to war with China, just like they’re opposed to allowing their media arms to honestly cover the lab leak that killed another 1200 Americans today. I think very consequential and binding pacts have been made with China at high levels of American business and government, and while public sentiment shifts against the Chinese, our policy stays essentially unchanged. They will let Taiwan fall, wag a few fingers, and blow a bunch of hot air.
Posted on 11/17/21 at 6:31 pm to bdavids09
Ok, China hits Taiwan while Biden is president:
1) China would need to simultaneously nullify Japan as a threat by pressing them
2) Australian military mobilization?
3) US mobilization?
Currently neither the US not Australia are on a war footing and would require 6 months plus to get there. In that time it would be a regional Taiwan and Japan vs China in a limited capacity.
Option 2:
Japan sees no forthcoming support and allows China to take the island of Taiwan without real opposition. Most likely given the current state of the geopolitical situation. This buys time to rally the US and Australian support while not risking Japanese resources.
Option 3:
China hits Taiwan and Japan in a very aggressive action while supporting N Korea allowing them to to cross the 38th and Russia invaded the Ukraine.
Nato sends a token force to the Ukraine while the US sends the bulk of their rapid response teams to South Korea and Hawaii to meet the Chinese forces. The advances are stalled as the aggressive forces have seized what they wanted.
Option 4:
Japan goes rogue assuming US and Australian support is coming, get slaughtered because no US or Australian support came. Launches nukes, emptying their stockpiles.
Catastrophe outcome 2nd most likely
1) China would need to simultaneously nullify Japan as a threat by pressing them
2) Australian military mobilization?
3) US mobilization?
Currently neither the US not Australia are on a war footing and would require 6 months plus to get there. In that time it would be a regional Taiwan and Japan vs China in a limited capacity.
Option 2:
Japan sees no forthcoming support and allows China to take the island of Taiwan without real opposition. Most likely given the current state of the geopolitical situation. This buys time to rally the US and Australian support while not risking Japanese resources.
Option 3:
China hits Taiwan and Japan in a very aggressive action while supporting N Korea allowing them to to cross the 38th and Russia invaded the Ukraine.
Nato sends a token force to the Ukraine while the US sends the bulk of their rapid response teams to South Korea and Hawaii to meet the Chinese forces. The advances are stalled as the aggressive forces have seized what they wanted.
Option 4:
Japan goes rogue assuming US and Australian support is coming, get slaughtered because no US or Australian support came. Launches nukes, emptying their stockpiles.
Catastrophe outcome 2nd most likely
Posted on 11/17/21 at 6:32 pm to bdavids09
Brandon would poop his pants.
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