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re: What happens if China/Russia gets involved? Or China blockades Taiwan in response?

Posted on 4/12/26 at 12:55 pm to
Posted by BamaGradinTn
Murfreesboro
Member since Dec 2008
29325 posts
Posted on 4/12/26 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

How many times in your life have you bought something in Yuan? They do as we say.


China owns over $760 billion in U.S. Treasury securities. I don't think they paid for them in yuan.
Posted by tadman
Member since Jun 2020
5536 posts
Posted on 4/12/26 at 1:00 pm to
I think Venezuela and Iran are a very subtle warning to China to stay in their lane. In both cases Trump made a very sudden and violent move to take out an enemy. If I were an opposing leader with designs on a friend of the USA, I'd probably hold my cards close until the next president gets elected, one that believes in the "four tomahawk missles, a strongly worded cease-fire, and some sanctions" model that's been so effective.
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
24624 posts
Posted on 4/12/26 at 1:02 pm to
What if your aunt had balls?
She'd be ur uncle!
China won't do a damn thing while Trump is president. Just open your eyes and take a look around!
Posted by killercoconut
Lafayette
Member since Jun 2008
3881 posts
Posted on 4/12/26 at 1:09 pm to
It’s a hypothetical and I’m asking for what do you propose would happen in such a scenario. I don’t care if you think it will happen or not. I’m simply asking what might that scenario look like should it happen.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39826 posts
Posted on 4/12/26 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

And you vastly overestimate the amount of oil Russia can provide to China. Especially while Russia is waging the war with Ukraine.


In 2025, Russia provided 91 million tons of crude, which account for nearly 50% of Russia's total production. There is some room to provide more. In February of this year, China imported 17% more crude from Russia than they did in February of last year, with crude exports from Russia to India falling by nearly 20%. There was also 7 million tons of Russian crude oil out to sea in February of 2026 which could not be linked to a known buyer.

That said, Taiwanese and Chinese rapprochement is more likely than a blockade of Taiwan soon, which means it is not likely. Although the latest statements by the chairwoman of the KMT, Cheng Li-wun, and her meeting with Xi this weekend, suggests a lot of things, but mainly it seems the KMT is shaken and sees the US as a source of risk. Reading between the lines, I don't think the KMT believes the US will actually aid them in the face of real kinetic action from China. Honestly, an unbelievable statement from a member of the KMT, let alone the chairwoman.
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