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re: Trump blaming FED for economic slowdown is disingenuous

Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:36 pm to
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53465 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:36 pm to
He has no idea what he is suggesting. His world doesn't make sense right now. So he's just throwing shite!



Hey Shorty... Are workers consumers?
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:36 pm to
When CAT and MMM have large decreases in sales it is not indicative of a continued strong growth of the economy.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53465 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

I mean FCK dude when do you stop and realize you don't actually know what the fck you're talking about...



I know … I know ...I KNOW!!!!

The answer is NEVER!!!!



What did I win?
Posted by BurningHeart
Member since Jan 2017
9517 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

You are on here whining about me calling BS on Trump for pounding on the FED chief he appointed over a 1/4 of 1 percent interest rate hike and you think a friggin 25% tariff on steel imports and a coming 25% tariff on virtually all imports from China is a small deal. 


You really think just one .25 rate increase is all that Trump is referring to?

No.... it's all the rate increases post Obama AND the Fed's future dot plot.

You're being dense again... like always.


ETA and I'm not even arguing against the fact that the Fed should be raising rates.

The sad point is that they could only raise it once while Obama was in office because his economic policies were horrid.

So now it gives the appearance that Obama did wonders for the economy while Trump did less... even though Trump's economy is still far stronger than Obama's even during rising rates.

C'mon IB you know this stuff... you let your bias get the best of you.
This post was edited on 10/24/18 at 12:42 pm
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53465 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:39 pm to
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

Oh gawd, I said I wouldn't come in here but this is such an asinine statement I can't let it go.


No it is not. Companies are trimming their earning forecast and none I know of have trimmed them because of interest rates.

quote:

People chasing returns - lower interest rates mean lower returns in interest driven


Of course and that has nothing to do with any individual company's earnings. It may have something to do with the valuation of stocks in general but not earnings.

quote:

Stock Buy-Backs


Nothing to do with earnings either. It might impact earnings per share but will not impact the income statement except to the extent they change their capital structure and incur higher interest cost on debt they might use to make the buy back---ie use debt to do the buy back instead of company cash. It will not impact EBITDA earnings at all.

Again you are badly mistaken about a 1/4 of 1% interest rate increase impact on the economy.

Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:44 pm to
They started raising rates from0 in 2015 FYI.

The man is blowing smoke about the impact of the FED. on the bad news we have been hearing this week about earnings and any thinking person can see that.

Posted by stat19
Member since Feb 2011
29350 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:45 pm to
IBCryinOverSomethingElse
Posted by HeyHeyHogsAllTheWay
Member since Feb 2017
12458 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

You really think just one .25 rate increase is all that Trump is referring to?

No.... it's all the rate increases post Obama AND the Fed's future dot plot.

You're being dense again... like always.


ETA and I'm not even arguing against the fact that the Fed should be raising rates.

The sad point is that they could only raise it once while Obama was in office because his economic policies were horrid.

So now it gives the appearance that Obama did wonders for the economy while Trump did less... even though Trump's economy is still far stronger than Obama's even during rising rates.

C'mon IB you know this stuff... you let your bias get the best of you.





The fact of the matter is the fed SHOULD have raised rates in 2007 early 2008 because the economy supported that, and the didn't gee I wonder why not? And the economy now DOES support raising rates, but of course Trump doesn't want rates raised, he wants the economy to look as strong as possible just as Obama did. Gee , I wonder why rates MUST be raised this time, but not when Obama was President.......Oh that's right.
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

The fact of the matter is the fed SHOULD have raised rates in 2007 early 2008 because the economy supported that,


U are going to have to explain that one to me.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53465 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:48 pm to
LMAO!


I love watching you run. You have managed to run from a lot of people. Now new people are calling your BS and you will start running from them too once you can no longer answer questions because you are wrong.


Posted by BurningHeart
Member since Jan 2017
9517 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

They started raising rates from0 in 2015 FYI. 


Isn't that what I just said??? Haha

Once while Obama was in office and six times since Trump has been in office. Once in Dec 2016 during the transition.

That makes 1 rate increase in 8 years (2 if you count the transition increase) for Obama

And 6 increases in 2 years for Trump

I wonder who is better for the economy?
This post was edited on 10/24/18 at 12:51 pm
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:53 pm to
Rates are still very low.

You are a hard headed imbecile incapable of critical thought if you think this last interest rate hike or even the commutative impact of the hikes the last three years has more impact on earnings forecast today than Trump's tariffs.
Posted by Tmcgin
BATON ROUGE
Member since Jun 2010
4969 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:55 pm to
Quote:

I disagree. Americans don't want honesty unless it fits their narrative


Truer words never spoken on this board
there are two industries (left and right media) getting rich on divisive rhetoric
were all suckers
Posted by BurningHeart
Member since Jan 2017
9517 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:57 pm to
quote:


You are a hard headed imbecile incapable of critical thought if you think this last interest rate hike or even the commutative impact of the hikes the last three years has more impact on earnings forecast today than Trump's tariffs.


How many recessions have Fed rate increases caused vs tariffs?

Bahahha
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 12:59 pm to
Well tariffs were a very big contributor to the Great Depression.

Bahahha or whatever.
Posted by BurningHeart
Member since Jan 2017
9517 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Well tariffs were a very big contributor to the Great Depression. 


It's fun watching you crawfish.

You are my favorite poster to argue against because you always reply... which just keeps you digging further and further down.
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 1:06 pm to
I haven't crawfished at all.

Here is some reading material for you if you care to learn something otherwise just go on blindly following Trump.

The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression

Amity Shlaes should meet all your criteria of a respectable author--she has been on Fox several times.

She meets mine because of her resume.
This post was edited on 10/24/18 at 1:08 pm
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53465 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Well tariffs were a very big contributor to the Great Depression.


NOPE!


The Great depression start well before it started. The stock market crash that had begun in the last week of October 1929, some eight months before Hoover signed the Smoot-Hawley tariff.


We had OVER PRODUCTION in all of the 20s. During World War I a number of countries, including the U.S., had greatly expanded agricultural production; as Europe recovered from the war and its agriculture production reached earlier levels, production worldwide exceeded consumption and prices fell around the world. Farmers had gone into debt during the boom times, investing in new equipment and land, and were hard hit when prices fell. That had ZERO to do with the Tariffs.

There was overproduction in the industrial sector as well. While the upper 1 percent was doing very well, those farther down the income scale were not doing as well and many were buying cars, appliances and other products on credit. Additionally, many Americans had been buying stocks on margin and when the stock market collapsed, they saw their equity plummet and they stopped buying goods and services; in the first half of 1930, consumers cut their expenditures by ten percent. Companies were afraid to invest in new capacity or products, and they too stopped spending. That had ZERO to do with tariffs.

Your Boy Milton... he blamed...… wait for it... the FEDS! Between 1929 and 1933, the money supply contracted by one-third, and as a result many companies couldn’t get loans. The problem was exacerbated by the failure of policy makers to prevent bank failures. Milton Friedman blamed the Federal Reserve. THIS IS WHERE YOU MAY WANT TO START LEARNING!


You see IB, the depression had already started. Why not look into the whole picture of then and now.


The more you know...……..
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123891 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Trump blaming FED for economic slowdown is disingenuous
What economic slowdown. The next Bureau of Economic Analysis report is due out Friday. Expectation is for ~4% growth. That puts us well on the Road to our first >3%GDPG year in a decade.

So actually in contrast to your post, an assertion there is an economic slowdown is disingenuous.
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