This is what too big to rig looks like

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The steep rise in votes for Democrats or Republicans during vote counting often depends on the reporting order of different types of ballots (e.g., in-person, mail-in, absentee, or early voting). Trends like this are typically influenced by:

1. Election Administration and Reporting Patterns:

In some states, mail-in and absentee ballots, which lean heavily Democratic, are counted and reported later.

Conversely, Election Day votes, which tend to lean Republican, are often reported earlier, leading to a sharp early rise for Republicans and a slower Democratic catch-up.



2. Examples of Steep Rises for Republicans:

Florida (Presidential Elections, 2020): Florida counts early votes and absentee ballots first. Since those ballots skew Republican in Florida, you may see a sharp initial rise for Republicans, with a plateau as Election Day ballots are counted.

Rural-Dominant States (e.g., Kansas, Nebraska): In states where rural Republican areas report first, you'll see sharp rises for Republican candidates, with Democratic areas reporting later.



3. 2024 Wisconsin Context:

Wisconsin historically counts absentee and mail-in ballots after in-person votes, leading to vote spikes for Democrats late in the count.

Republican-heavy areas report earlier, but a steep rise for Republicans might happen if:

An overwhelmingly Republican county or set of precincts reports a large batch of votes at once.

An unusually high number of Election Day votes (heavily Republican) are delayed and counted all at once.





To identify specific examples of Republican races with steep rises, election-night reporting trends from battleground states like Ohio, Florida, or Texas in previous elections would provide historical context. Let me know if you’d like me to pull more specific examples for comparison.

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