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re: The Next Recession Will Destroy Millennials

Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:20 pm to
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
24277 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

so if you're in the professional class, your goal is not to have your kid go backwards


My point is that skilled trade is no longer “backwards” from professional.

I agree a degree was once a ticket to higher earning, but as we have diluted the value of a college degree and told several generations that a skilled trade career was “backward” from a professional career, that’s no longer the case.

We need to look at the data differently now than we have previously.
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
24277 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:22 pm to
For example, is block chain technology going to eliminate millions of finance degreed spreadsheet monkeys making 75k?

Probably.

Is there a technology that can replace a skilled electrician? Not that I’m aware of.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481110 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

My point is that skilled trade is no longer “backwards” from professional.

I agree a degree was once a ticket to higher earning

a. this isn't just about higher earning

b. the data simply doesn't back that up. at least no data that's been posted in this thread (and i directly asked OWS for some)
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
124282 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:26 pm to
Socially it is a massive step backward

You can pretend like that doesn’t matter but that’s on you

You don’t spend years becoming a professional and marrying/having kids with another educated person to raise a pipe fitter.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

so if you're in the professional class, your goal is not to have your kid go backwards.


Social class perception is far more important in the South and East Coast than elsewhere.

Southerners are paranoid about it.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481110 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

Social class perception is far more important in the South and East Coast than elsewhere.

i think the data on college-educated coupling is pretty universal across all the American (and, Western European) geography

and then the data on college-educated couples compared to everyone else shows major output differences. pretty much all pathologies decrease substantially for that grouping compared to all others

this isn't a Southern thing
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

this isn't a Southern thing


Class culture is far bigger in the South and East.

Outside of that, it's upper class or bust.

Most parents are far more concerned with a child's independence and ability to support themselves well than class distinction. Success over attainment and class


If your kid decides to learn a business from the ground up and someday have his own which means a time spent doing manual labor, I doubt you would worry too much, in reality.
This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 3:28 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481110 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

If your kid decides to learn a business from the ground up and someday have his own which means a time spent doing manual labor, I doubt you would worry too much, in reality.

to use your example, the odds of this happening are much higher if that kid has a stable, 2-parent household

that is MUCH more likely if both of his parents are married

that is MUCH more likely if both of his parents are...of the professional class
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

Most parents are far more concerned with a child's independence and ability to support themselves well than class distinction. Success over attainment and class

If your kid decides to learn a business from the ground up and someday have his own which means a time spent doing manual labor, I doubt you would worry too much, in reality.


Thing is, even non-professional businesses are being run by people with college degrees nowadays. My car gets serviced at a shop owned by a guy with an engineering degree. My favorite restaurant in town is run by college grads. It's not wasted talent either. Things have just gotten more sophisticated than they were years ago.

Everyone has a degree. It is a right of passage. It is proof that you aren't a total screw up because it's so accessible.
This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 3:41 pm
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 3:37 pm to
Sure, those are probabilities. but if you're In a two parent housegphold and your child has a solid career plan that doesn't include a white collar profession, I don't think it would affect you much.

I'm discussing perception, you're dealing with probability of outcomes. Most children from stable homes will do very well for themselves regardless of trade/profession.

For kids growing up today, I think most of this will be irrelevant.
This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 3:40 pm
Posted by Jumbo_Gumbo
Denham Springs
Member since Dec 2015
5969 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 3:46 pm to
I’m 36 and will be fine. Unlike other “millennials” I’ve focused on paying off my debts and living well within my means. Currently i only have my wife’s car note and a house note.
Posted by 93and99
Dayton , Oh / Allentown , Pa
Member since Dec 2018
14400 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

NIH


Yep , you hate boomers because your dad abandoned you and your mom did a bad job !

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481110 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

Yep , you hate boomers because your dad abandoned you and your mom did a bad job !

you're bad at this
Posted by 93and99
Dayton , Oh / Allentown , Pa
Member since Dec 2018
14400 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

my dad was an abusive alcoholic who didn't pay child support and left my mom to raise 3 kids on a teacher's salary


Now I understand why you hate boomers.
Posted by 93and99
Dayton , Oh / Allentown , Pa
Member since Dec 2018
14400 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

you're bad at this


No , you are bad at it.

No one owes you anything. You should have been taught that.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481110 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:32 pm to
so you think i hate my mom or something?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481110 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

No one owes you anything.



you're very bad at this
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

I’m 36 and will be fine. Unlike other “millennials” I’ve focused on paying off my debts and living well within my means. Currently i only have my wife’s car note and a house note.


I think AI will wreak havoc on most professions. Not sure it will badly affect older millennials but will the younger.
Posted by SoulGlo
Shinin' Through
Member since Dec 2011
17248 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:44 pm to
Millennials are so coddled and protected they don't know what difficulty is. They have to invent their own. When actual hardship comes around, some will wake up but the vast majority will cry for help.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Millennials are so coddled and protected they don't know what difficulty is.


It's a societal failure. Not just their fault. They were coddled.

We made a huge jump in quality of life in the 80s and 90s.
This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 4:53 pm
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