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RCP has Harris down to +1 in poll average
Posted on 10/21/24 at 8:05 am
Posted on 10/21/24 at 8:05 am
It's [Happening] Not Happening
Posted on 10/21/24 at 8:08 am to Roaad
Even better, going back to early August - over two months ago, the only poll that showed Trump leading was Rasmussen. There are now 4 polls in the last week that show him leading. Unless something changes fast, this is going to be a strong Trump victory.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 8:11 am to Roaad
RCP polling averages by state has Trump with 312 EVs and Harris with 226. 

Posted on 10/21/24 at 8:44 am to Roaad
Nate silver says there is a +2.0 national poll bias with respect to getting to 270 EC votes with favor to republicans. Through out that poll have been off favoring Dems in past few elections. This does not bode well for Dems.
Also, trends/momentum is moving towards Trump and away from Harris.
Biggest question, “does this also correlate to down ballot”. If so Dems are in big trouble
Also, trends/momentum is moving towards Trump and away from Harris.
Biggest question, “does this also correlate to down ballot”. If so Dems are in big trouble
Posted on 10/21/24 at 8:50 am to tigeraddict
Trump is going to win the popular vote
You will then see a realignment of the Democrat party
You will then see a realignment of the Democrat party
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