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Started By
Message
re: Predict the market drop/rise after tomorrow’s jobs report
Posted on 2/4/22 at 8:05 am to JJJimmyJimJames
Posted on 2/4/22 at 8:05 am to JJJimmyJimJames
quote:so good news is bad news. clown world
it fell to 34688
-450 dow
3
Posted on 2/4/22 at 8:06 am to UncleFestersLegs
Two ways to interpret it.
One, they predicted it would fall so stocks benefitting from a fall fell while stocks benefitting from an increase rose.
Two, no one believes any of this shite is backed up by data and that the numbers are far worse than reported.
One, they predicted it would fall so stocks benefitting from a fall fell while stocks benefitting from an increase rose.
Two, no one believes any of this shite is backed up by data and that the numbers are far worse than reported.
Posted on 2/4/22 at 8:06 am to UncleFestersLegs
People in the investment game tend to know a lot more about the economy than people who aren’t. They know the house is on fire around them. Ridiculous propaganda won’t change that
Posted on 2/4/22 at 8:07 am to UncleFestersLegs
And just like that, the jobs report is way better than expected. Instead of a 300,000 jobs lost, it's a 467,000 gain. Are these jobs reports even remotely close to real numbers?
Posted on 2/4/22 at 8:13 am to AirbusDawg
I seriously doubt it.
This is an administration which gamed GDP numbers by shutting down ports until the quarter numbers closed so they didn’t have to count all the imports waiting to be offloaded as part of the quarter.
This is an administration which gamed GDP numbers by shutting down ports until the quarter numbers closed so they didn’t have to count all the imports waiting to be offloaded as part of the quarter.
Posted on 2/4/22 at 8:16 am to AirbusDawg
quote:
And just like that, the jobs report is way better than expected. Instead of a 300,000 jobs lost, it's a 467,000 gain. Are these jobs reports even remotely close to real numbers?
BLS also revised December payrolls from 199K to 510K. November was revised from 249K to 647K. 709K higher over 2 months. So covid 2021 never happened with every month averaging 500k. Amazing. We are (were) saved!
Posted on 2/4/22 at 8:34 am to JJJimmyJimJames
My observation is that jobs numbers usually dont have the impact on markets that last.
The market followed technical indicators last night and this morning
The news that DOES/can impact markets is Federal Reserve news of interest rates, manipulations, and what was said by Fed governors about their actions
The market followed technical indicators last night and this morning
The news that DOES/can impact markets is Federal Reserve news of interest rates, manipulations, and what was said by Fed governors about their actions
Posted on 2/4/22 at 8:36 am to JJJimmyJimJames
quote:So the probability of hikes goes up and the market pukes from withdrawal of the punch bowl. Ill believe it when i see it
The news that DOES/can impact markets is Federal Reserve news of interest rates, manipulations, and what was said by Fed governors about their actions
Posted on 2/4/22 at 11:31 am to UncleFestersLegs
Interesting to see the revised numbers. Some months the report jobs vs the revised numbers are off by a crazy amount. The take away, jobs reports are full of shite. They are reported to help a presidents poll numbers.
Posted on 2/10/22 at 7:42 am to JJJimmyJimJames
quote:like the CPI (consumer price index) did this morning...
The news that DOES/can impact markets is Federal Reserve news of interest rates, manipulations, and what was said by Fed governors about their actions
came in at 7.5% off of forecast 7.3% - dow futures dropped 250 points in 15 minutes
again, interest rates and expectations of rates move markets
Posted on 2/10/22 at 7:43 am to Eli Goldfinger
I don’t think the market really tanks until interest rates begin to rise.
Posted on 2/10/22 at 7:47 am to oklahogjr
quote:Not hedging are you?
May move for other reasons though
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