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re: No ground troops

Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:25 am to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:25 am to
quote:

How exactly is China going to pull that off?

This all depends on what our goals are with this regime change

Which then changes the calculus on "ground troops"

If we aren't committed to enforcing a new regime with ground troops, why would China not be able to cozy up to the new regime to the exclusion of the US? Especially with their ability to more cheaply offer infrastructure and other goods/services compared to the US/West. Belt and Road ring a bell?

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Okay name them.


Whatever group of camel frickers emerges to praise Allah can do this in time.

Could you name ISIS in 2004?
This post was edited on 3/8/26 at 10:27 am
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
89071 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:26 am to
quote:


How exactly is China going to pull that off?

This all depends on what our goals are with this regime change


quote:


If we aren't committed to enforcing a new regime with ground troops, why would China not be able to cozy up to the new regime to the exclusion of the US? Especially with their ability to more cheaply offer infrastructure and other goods/services compared to the US/West. Belt and Road ring a bell?
They were doing that already clown.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:26 am to
quote:

While not ideal, an Iran controlled by China would still be better than the status quo of the last 50 years.


I have a thread brewing on this very subject
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
89071 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Whatever group of camel frickers emerges to praise Allah can do this in time.

With what funding?

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:28 am to
quote:

They were doing that already clown.

So this new conflict doesn't always "castrate" them?

To bring this back full circle.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:28 am to
quote:

With what funding?


The same way the current regime does. Again, the presupposition is these new groups step in
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
89071 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:28 am to
quote:


So this new conflict doesn't always "castrate" them?

To bring this back full circle.
That cheap oil stopped flowing, but yeah take your big "win".
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:29 am to
quote:

That cheap oil stopped flowing

But you just admitted it can just as easily start flowing again with a new regime that cozies up to China.
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
89071 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:29 am to
quote:

The same way the current regime does. Again, the presupposition is these new groups step in

So the new regime is the same as the old regime will be your argument?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:31 am to
quote:

So the new regime is the same as the old regime will be your argument?


It's much more likely to end up that way without ground troops, yes.

Ending up right where we started, or worse, is a very common scenario with engagements in the ME. That's why people are so against these wars
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
89071 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:32 am to
quote:

It's much more likely to end up that way without ground troops, yes.

Meh we shall see.

quote:


Ending up right where we started, or worse, is a very common scenario with engagements in the ME. That's why people are so against these wars
Well at the end of the day you can fap on.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:33 am to
quote:

Well at the end of the day you can fap on.


There was a time, not long ago, when the words you quoted to give this response were the policy of Trump/MAGA
This post was edited on 3/8/26 at 10:33 am
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
11758 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:33 am to
Why try to sound definitive? Especially you have to add the word “current”.

It’s almost as if the mismatch between the subject header and the content is intentional.
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
89071 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:35 am to
quote:

There was a time, not long ago, when the words you quoted to give this response were the policy of Trump/MAGA

Well everyone knows the only reason you are here is for attention and to claim 100% correct in every thread. Here I gave you your fapping material. jerk on counsellor!
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26417 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:35 am to
quote:

quote:
Isn't that the goal?

Civil war and a destabilized Iran is the goal?


Im confused.
Do you want a different regime in Iran? Or no?

You can't say that the Islamic Republic of Iran is the leading cause of regional terror and death in the middle east and simultaneously argue against regime change and civil war as a better alternative.

quote:

Centralizing fanatical Muslim conflict doesn't tend to lead to positive outcomes, historically

Regime change is definitionally decentralization. Do you disagree?

You seem to be defining these hyper-specifically to the current regime and ignoring that other groups can do this as well.

By your definition, addressing 1 problem is ignoring all other problems.
How can you even begin to address 1 problem without being accused of ignoring other problems? It sounds like you just prefer ignoring problems.
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
89071 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:38 am to
quote:

But you just admitted it can just as easily start flowing again with a new regime that cozies up to China.

Assuming the new guys want to go with a marginal China, sure.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Do you want a different regime in Iran? Or no?


I don't support this war.

I'm just giving reasons why the conflict is likely to turn out bad in discussing the regime change/no regime change scenarios, to explain my stance above.

quote:

You can't say that the Islamic Republic of Iran is the leading cause of regional terror and death in the middle east and simultaneously argue against regime change and civil war as a better alternative.


Because it's not guaranteed to be better or create a situation that was better than where we were.

We literally did this with Iraq 20 years ago and a similar terrible regime. And people tried to do this "you're supporting that terrible regime by pointing out why this is a bad idea" shite 20 years ago, too. I know because people did it to me. Who turned out to be correct?

Posted by Burt Reynolds
Monterey, CA
Member since Jul 2008
24451 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Not part of his “current” plan. I don’t see how an acceptable regime change happens without ground troops in some capacity.


Amazing how badly some of you want American troops to die
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Assuming the new guys want to go with a marginal China, sure.

China is one of the leading experts in this area currently.

They can offer better terms than we can. Why wouldn't the new regime go with the cheaper (at least short term) option?
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