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January PPI up 0.5
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:36 am
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:36 am
Expected was 0.1. Hello inflation.
With the way home and auto prices have been going up not too surprising, but is this the effect, finally, of raised prices and shortages from the tariffs?
With the way home and auto prices have been going up not too surprising, but is this the effect, finally, of raised prices and shortages from the tariffs?
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:37 am to HubbaBubba
IB Chinaman, is that you?
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:38 am to HubbaBubba
Are we going to do the one datapoint makes a trend shite?
We are going to do the one datapoint makes a trand shite
We are going to do the one datapoint makes a trand shite
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:39 am to HubbaBubba
I'd like to see the report. I'd imagine there are some outliers.
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:44 am to udtiger
quote:Knock yourself out.
I'd like to see the report. I'd imagine there are some outliers.
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:52 am to HubbaBubba
quote:
In January, 90 percent of the increase in the final demand index is attributable to prices for final
demand services, which climbed 0.7 percent. The index for final demand goods inched up 0.1
percent.
That's important. Services are the driver for this number, not goods. Likely driven by wage growth.
This is likely a bounce back or recovery number considering the long term trend PPI for services dropped in November and December: LINK
This increase doesn't even get it back to the number in October 2019
quote:
Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services advanced 0.4 percent in January,
the largest increase since a 0.4-percent rise in April 2019. For the 12 months ended in January,
the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 1.5 percent.
The "moving average" of annual PPI (including this month's number) is 1.5 (below 2.0 Fed target)
Certainly something to watch, but not a reason to freak out.
This post was edited on 2/19/20 at 7:53 am
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:55 am to udtiger
Actually, if you break it down like this, it's really good to see earnings and increases in wages as the recognized factor. Really points to the strong economy and pressure in hiring to offer higher wages to attract new hired.
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:56 am to HubbaBubba
quote:
Actually, if you break it down like this, it's really good to see earnings and increases in wages as the recognized factor. Really points to the strong economy and pressure in hiring to offer higher wages to attract new hired.
Still, want to keep it under 2%. Fed is itching to come in and frick shite up.
This post was edited on 2/19/20 at 7:57 am
Posted on 2/19/20 at 7:59 am to HubbaBubba
Looks like this was driven by services, not Goods, so it's unlikely the tariffs had much to do with this particular month's bump
Posted on 2/19/20 at 8:00 am to udtiger
quote:
Still, want to keep it under 2%. Fed is itching to come in and frick shite up.
No doubt about that... economy is humming along nicely and inflation is staying low, so Fed just needs to keep their powder dry and not screw around with anything.
Posted on 2/19/20 at 8:15 pm to HubbaBubba
Bond rates were higher today
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