re: Here's why you can't currently conclude the vaccines are effective

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Asymptomatic people exist. I've had confirmed at least one confirmed covid case (1st time is believed to have been a false negative) and yet I exhibited zero symptoms. No clue how many people exactly are asymptomatic, but it presents an issue for determining who has actually had covid and who hasn't, especially when you consider they are not establishing your prior infection status before the vaccine is given

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Agreed. My son was 21 when he tested positive last June. The only reason we knew he had it was bc one of his friends had a mandatory test at work that came back positive.

Neither one of them would have ever known they had Covid if not for his friend having to get tested at work.

My sister just found out she has the antibodies but hasn’t been sick in a couple years.

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I’ve seen several studies at 20% and one at 17%. What’s your wild arse guess based on?

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Stanford's Packard hospital has reported that for all of their 18 and under Covid cases, something north of 30% were asymptomatic and another near 40% had mild symptom (as I recall). Granted, that's hardly a cross-section of America, but an interesting anecdotal data point nonetheless.